SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's eight race card that features six handicaps.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising all the rides Stevie Donohoe 𝕏 is on ~ he has a 28% strike rate here this season. He has three rides here today.

I will also be looking at all of the horses ridden by claimer Ryan Kavanagh very closely. He has a 20% strike rate. He has five rides later this evening.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey STEVIE DONOHOE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 28 Mar 2026 5:00 Southwell Handicap 5f Tony Culhane BASHOLO
• 28 Mar 2026 6:00 Southwell Handicap 7f Olly Sangster MAYAADA
• 28 Mar 2026 7:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Ian Williams SHIELAS WELL ✅

Jockey RYAN KAVANAGH (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 28 Mar 2026 5:00 Southwell Handicap 5f Pat Morris STREET LIFE ✅
• 28 Mar 2026 5:30 Southwell Handicap 7f Ian Williams CALL GLORY
• 28 Mar 2026 7:00 Southwell 3-4yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 4f Ian Williams NUPTOWN GIRL
• 28 Mar 2026 8:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Lawrence Mullaney DASH POWER ✅
• 28 Mar 2026 8:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Stephanie Cassidy PINK SOCKS

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Southwell Betting Analysis

5:00 Southwell ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Street Life (14/1) is always relatively competetive in th e bottom grade.

Conclusion: Kavanagh claims 5lb which could be crucial here today. The 14/1 on offer is a reasonable looking play from a speculative low stakes punt level, win only.

5:00 South ~ Win Bet: 14/1 Street Life

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7:30 Southwell ❖ 11f C6 Hcp (div 1) ❖ Shielas Well (6/1) is on a handy mark.

Conclusion: I can't tell you whether she's a 7f or an 11f horse. I can tell you she's well handicapped at the moment and is as fit as a flea having her second run of the month for her new yard with Ian Williams. The race looks a tiny bit weak depthwise, even for the C6 level, so I'm expecting her to be right up there today.

7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Shielas Well

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8:00 Southwell ❖ 11f C6 Hcp (div 2) ❖ Dash Power (33/1) is way overpriced.

Conclusion: I've backed this one twice on the bounce in conditionals where he lost, but ran somewhat OK and disappointingly at the same time. He's now back in a true handicap, with a decent 5lb claimer in Ryan Kavanagh.

So I can't tell you he should win. I can tell you he's not winning at a massively overpriced 33/1 without a small amount of my dough on him, win lose or draw.

8:00 South ~ Win Bet: 33/1 Dash Power

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Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this saturday afternoon is a seven race card with four handicaps. Three races are on ITV. The highlight is the C1 Listed Snowdrop.

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ who has a ride in all seven races on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Billy Loughnane is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 28 Mar 2026 1:35 Kempton Handicap 7f Charles Hills COGITATE
• 28 Mar 2026 2:08 Kempton Handicap 2m George Boughey BRASIL POWER ✅
• 28 Mar 2026 2:42 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f George Boughey EL BURHAN
• 28 Mar 2026 3:13 Kempton Snowdrop Stakes 1m George Boughey SURVIE
• 28 Mar 2026 3:52 Kempton Fillies Conditional 1m George Boughey TRYST
• 28 Mar 2026 4:28 Kempton 3yo Conditional 1m Charlie Appleby KING'S TRAIL
• 28 Mar 2026 5:03 Kempton Handicap 6f Ollie Sangster TUCO SALAMANCA

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Kempton Betting Analysis

2:08 Kempton ❖ 2m C4 Handicap ❖ Brasil Power (5/1) is running well and has Loughnane aboard. The pair should be atleast joint fav in my book. The overnight 8/1 is gone. The 5/1 still on offer is plenty reasonable enough bettingwise.

2:08 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Brasil Power (Unp 11/2)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Friday March 27 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. A seven race card that include 6 handicapsand a maiden. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The two jockeys I am concentrating on today are the youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏 and the Old Warhorse himself Luke Morris 𝕏.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Rossa Ryan runners very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 27 Mar 2026 2:42 Lingfield Handicap 5f Roger Teal SOLAR INVINCIBLE ✅
• 27 Mar 2026 3:12 Lingfield Handicap 7f Mark Loughnane GIORGIO M ✅
• 27 Mar 2026 4:42 Lingfield Handicap 1m Tony Carroll YOUARENOTFORGIVEN

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 27 Mar 2026 3:12 Lingfield Handicap 7f John Butler METALLO
• 27 Mar 2026 4:42 Lingfield Handicap 1m Laura Mongan SECRET ROAD ✅
• 27 Mar 2026 5:17 Lingfield Handicap 2m Jim & Suzi Best SULLIVAN BAY ✅

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

2:42 Lingfield ❖ 5f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Solar Invincible (6/1) may well spring a small surprise with Loughnane aboard riding him for the first time at Lingfield. He already has reasonable form here for the grade. With Billy aboard he might find a length more, if he does, he'll trouble the favoured horses in this small field race.

2:42 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Solar Invincible (4th 4/1)

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3:12 Lingfield ❖ 7f C4 Hcp ❖ Georgio M (5/1) has won well here before and can do so again now Loughnane is back in the hotseat.

3:12 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Georgio M

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4:42 Lingfield ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Secret Road (8/1) won well enough over the C&D and can defy the penalty with Like Morris on board again. The puunters and/or hte bookies think not, judging by the price. I'll take my chances again after having him trot up last time.

4:42 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Secret Road

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5:17 Lingfield ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ Sullivan Bay (14/1) is always competetive over the marathon distance on the AW from this kind of mark. I'll back him on price alone at 14's. He's in good form and may well just be totally overpriced.

5:17 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 14/1 Sullivan Bay

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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this evening starting with the 5:30. A 7 race card with 6 handicaps and a maiden to pick from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey that catches my eye is 28yr old Callum Shepherd 𝕏 | Insta. He has a 25% strike rate this year, much better than previous years. He has 5 rides for some dangerous yards tonight.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey CALLUM SHEPHERD

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 26 Mar 2026 5:30 Chelmsford City 3-5yo Maiden 6f James Tate BLUE DEVERON
• 26 Mar 2026 6:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Michael Bell GOLD STAR HERO
• 26 Mar 2026 6:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Michael Bell GO LOCKERS GO
• 26 Mar 2026 8:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Charlie Johnston SANDITON ✅
• 26 Mar 2026 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston PORT DARWIN ✅

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

8:00 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C6 Hcp. ❖ Sanditon (12/1) has a standout bit of form where he won over the C&D from today's mark. Back here priced up at 12/1 with Shepherd aboard, I'll take my chances, small stakes, win only.

8:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Sanditon (Unp 14/1)

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

8:30 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp. ❖ Port Darwin (7/1) is another runner from the Johnston yard with Shephered on board who has some previous form worth noting. More importantly, if he needed the last run after a break, he'll prove a handful today for whoever is up there in the last furlong.

8:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Port Darwin (Unp 5/1)

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Labels: All-Weather-Code

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's seven race card that features five handicaps, a classified and a novice stakes.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising all the rides Billy Loughnane 𝕏 has very closely. He has seven rides here today.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 26 Mar 2026 2:07 Southwell Handicap 5f Richard Spencer ENTER SANDMAN
• 26 Mar 2026 2:37 Southwell Handicap 1m 6f Ian Williams GREEN TEAM ✅
• 26 Mar 2026 3:07 Southwell C6 Classified Stakes 1m John Mackie SOLD OUT
• 26 Mar 2026 3:37 Southwell 3yo+ Maiden 1m George Boughey POWDER MONKEY
• 26 Mar 2026 4:07 Southwell Handicap 7f Ian Williams AKRIVOS
• 26 Mar 2026 4:37 Southwell Handicap 6f Richard Spencer START ME UP
• 26 Mar 2026 5:07 Southwell Handicap 6f David Loughnane BEELZEBUB ✅

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Southwell Betting Analysis

2:37 Southwell ❖ 2m C5 Hcp ❖ Green Team (9/1) should give the fav the most to do.

Conclusion: Could even beat the favourite. Has some reasonable runs over the distance to his name from this kind of mark. With the aid of Loughnane, I think it will be a close race. At the price available in a small field, I'll take my chances to small stakes, win only.

2:37 South ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Green Team (2nd 8/1)

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5:07 Southwell ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Beelzebub (3/1) got no run last time here.

Conclusion: Makes a quick return to Southwell where would have most likely won if he had not got blocked multiple times. Loughnane takes the ride. He'll get him home in front today.

5:07 South ~ Win Bet: 11/4 Beelzebub (Non Runner)

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