SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Saturday March 21 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Tonight's eight race Newcastle AW evening meeting starts with the 5:00 and ends with the 8:30. Four handicaps and two novices to sift through. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ he has five rides.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 21 Mar 2026 5:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f John Butler RASTNET ✅
• 21 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle 3yo Novice Stakes 1m Charlie Appleby STARGLOW
• 21 Mar 2026 6:00 Newcastle 4yo+ Novice Stakes 7f George Boughey ZATSGOOD
• 21 Mar 2026 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey ZOUSTELLAR
• 21 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m Pat Morris TASEVER

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

5:00 Newcastle ❖ 1m 4f C4 Hcp ❖ Rastnet (4/1) ran well over the C&D last time without winning. He still incurred a 2lb penalty for today. I expect the presence of Loughnane to negate that bump in the weights and get him home in front today.

5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Rastnet (2nd 10/3)

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Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's eight race card that features five handicaps of various descriptions.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ No particular jockey catches my eye. I will check out the formlines of each race in old school style and see if I can find a winner.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell Betting Analysis

5:13 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C5 Fillies Hcp ❖ Hackney Diamonds (4/1) needs to find a couple of lengths.

Conclusion: The quick return to the C&D with the highly competent 5lb claimer Ryan Kavanagh on board again, plus employing a first time visor, has caught my eye. I think she'll be leading with a furlong to go and will prove hard to pass today.

5:13 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Hackney Diamonds (3rd 3/1)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

We have an All Weather meeting on the TV tonight. The last 6 races on the nine race card will be televised live on ITV4. Should be good..

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this follow in this evening are a bit obvious, but Oisin Murphy 𝕏 is always dangerous to ignore. He has four rides during the televised section.

The second jock I'm watching closely is the youngster Billy Loughnane, he has eight rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Oisin Murphy or Billy Loughnane is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 20 Mar 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m David O'Meara DUKE'S COMMAND
• 20 Mar 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Andrew Balding SPANISH VOICE
• 20 Mar 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop PRESSURES ON ✅
• 20 Mar 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Ollie Sangster SERAPHIM ANGEL (Non Runner)

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 20 Mar 2026 4:22 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Grace Harris OVER SPICED
• 20 Mar 2026 4:55 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Tony Carroll HINT OF HUMOUR
• 20 Mar 2026 5:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Ian Williams GREEN TEAM
• 20 Mar 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Tony Carroll YOUARENOTFORGIVEN ✅
• 20 Mar 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m George Boughey UNASSUMING
• 20 Mar 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Denis Coakley MY FERMOY
• 20 Mar 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Charlie Johnston SOCIETY MAN
• 20 Mar 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Even Johnson Houghton BUCCABAY

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

6:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ Youarenotforgiven (9/2) is running about a length or two under his best lately. His mark has dropped sufficiently enough now, that with Loughnane back on board, a decent draw in five, he could well nick this under Billy's aggressive riding style in the finish.

7:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Youarenotforgiven (Won 9/2)

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8:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C4 Hcp ❖ Pressures On (7/1) has plenty enough C&D form from today's mark to put him bang in the race at the business end. An interesting and speculative punt at 7/1 with Oisin Murphy booked.

6:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Pressures On (2nd 17/2)

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16:22 1. 5 Brazilian Belle 15/2 2. 4 Charlie Mason 1/1F 3. 2 Binadham 5/1 Tote Win 11.40 Places 2.40, 1.10, 2.00 Exacta: 29.90 CSF: 15.60 Tricast: 44.17 Trifecta: 111.40 Winning Jockey: S B Kirrane Winning Trainer: M Dods Distances: Short Head, Neck Charlie Mason 1/1 F 9 ran	16:55 1. 4 Moe's Legacy 25/1 2. 5 Hint Of Humour 5/2F 3. 9 Phoenix Beach 16/1 Tote Win 26.00 Places 6.90, 1.60, 4.90 Exacta: 157.20 CSF: 88.91 Tricast: 1087.26 Trifecta: 1148.40 Winning Jockey: J Watson Winning Trainer: R Harris Distances: 1 length, Neck Hint Of Humour 5/2 F 9 ran
17:30 1. 4 Made All 11/1 2. 2 Pleasant Man 7/2 3. 10 Sea Of Charm 16/1 Tote Win 12.00 Places 3.20, 1.90, 3.10 Exacta: 69.00 CSF: 50.32 Tricast: 632.05 Trifecta: 718.60 Winning Jockey: O J Orr Winning Trainer: S England Distances: Head, 2 3/4 lengths One Cool Dreamer 5/2 F 10 ran Non Runners 7	18:00 1. 9 Youarenotforgiven 9/2 2. 10 Eagles Whistle 13/2 3. 1 Marry The Night 7/2F Tote Win 5.50 Places 2.00, 2.80, 2.10 Exacta: 38.00 CSF: 34.33 Tricast: 118.45 Trifecta: 256.90 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: A W Carroll Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 length Marry The Night 7/2 F 11 ran
18:30 1. 4 Eagle Day 11/2 3. 5 Up The Jazz 10/1 4. 3 Ernie's Valentine 7/4F Tote Win 8.80 Places 2.40, 2.70, Exacta: 40.90 CSF: 33.63 Tricast: 272.74 Trifecta: 176.60 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: P D Evans Distances: Nose, 2 lengths, 1/2 length Ernie's Valentine 7/4 F 9 ran Non Runners 8	19:00 1. 2 First Principle 11/4F 2. 5 Dosman 15/2 3. 4 City Of Poets 4/1 Tote Win 3.80 Places 1.70, 2.40, 2.10 Exacta: 28.90 CSF: 24.91 Tricast: 87.48 Trifecta: 84.90 Winning Jockey: Tom Marquand Winning Trainer: W J Haggas Distances: Neck, Short Head First Principle 11/4 F 12 ran Non Runners 10
19:30 1. 9 My Fermoy 3/1JF 2. 5 Fierce Fortitude 9/1 3. 4 Way Of Life 14/1 Tote Win 4.00 Places 1.60, 2.30, 3.70 Exacta: 33.20 CSF: 32.99 Tricast: 343.30 Trifecta: 251.60 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: D J Coakley Distances: 1/2 length, 3/4 length Spanish Voice 3/1 JF My Fermoy 3/1 JF 12 ran	20:00 1. 8 Pietro 9/1 2. 12 Pressure's On 17/2 3. 9 Dragon Leader 7/2 Tote Win 10.10 Places 2.60, 2.60, 1.80 Exacta: 38.40 CSF: 83.82 Tricast: 328.52 Trifecta: 522.90 Winning Jockey: George Wood Winning Trainer: J R Fanshawe Distances: 3/4 length, 1/2 length The Dragon King 5/2 F 10 ran Non Runners 1 7
20:30 1. 11 Dark Ace 8/1 2. 8 King Of Bears 9/1 3. 5 Arklow Lad 15/8F Tote Win 9.60 Places 2.10, 2.30, 1.40 Exacta: 104.50 CSF: 82.37 Tricast: 187.91 Trifecta: 387.70 Winning Jockey: O J Orr Winning Trainer: A McGuinness Distances: 1/2 length, 3/4 length Arklow Lad 15/8 F 11 ran Non Runners 4

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Friday March 20 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. A seven race card. The races include 6 handicaps and a single maiden for 3-5yo fillies.

I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is the old AW Warhorse Luke Morris 𝕏 ~ he has five rides this afternoon.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Luke Morris' runners very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 20 Mar 2026 3:12 Lingfield Handicap 7f James Owen PROFIT STREET ✅
• 20 Mar 2026 3:45 Lingfield 3-5yo Fillies Maiden 1m Sir Mark Prescott DESERT BELLE
• 20 Mar 2026 4:17 Lingfield Handicap 1m James Owen ROGUE DYNASTY
• 20 Mar 2026 4:50 Lingfield Handicap 5f Tony Carroll WEDGEWOOD ✅
• 20 Mar 2026 5:25 Lingfield Handicap 1m William Knight RED HAT EAGLE ✅

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

3:12 Lingfield ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Profit Street (11/4) is on a treble over the C&D. I expect the 5lb rise to not be enough to stop him with Luke Morris aboard.

3:12 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 11/4 Profit Street (2nd 2/1f from 11/4)

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4:50 Lingfield ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Wedgewood (10/1) has the form in the book to win this outright. The presence of Luke Morris and the 10/1 quote, make this one a reasonable betting opportunity.

4:50 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Wedgewood (Won 9/2 from 10/1)

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5:25 Lingfield ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Red Hat Eagle (8/1) has C&D form showing this race is within his scope. With the help of Luke Morris' trackcraft, he will be almost certainly in the running in the last furlong.

5:25 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Red Hat Eagle (Unp 17/2)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday March 19 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Tonight's seven race Newcastle AW evening meeting starts with the 5:25 and ends with the 8:30. Four handicaps, two maidens and a classified to mull over. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Jason Hart 𝕏 ~ he has four rides.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 19 Mar 2026 5:25 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Cris Kellett DARING LEADER
• 19 Mar 2026 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 6f Hugo Palmer STRATUSNINE
• 19 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Ivan Furtado THE BELL CONDUCTOR ✅
• 19 Mar 2026 8:30 Newcastle Handicap 7f Ivan Furtado MONK'S HILL

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ The Bell Conductor (7/1) has dropped down to a handy mark and can win this outright.

Of course, you drop down to such a mark because of bad form. I think he needed the last couple of runs ~ Jason Hart taking the ride topday shows me they think he can put his best foot forward now.

7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 7/1 The Bell Conductor

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Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this afternoon is a eight race card. Six races are handicaps of varying types. Two are novice stakes races. I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ who has six rides on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Billy Loughnane is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 18 Mar 2026 5:30 Kempton 3yo Novice Stakes 7f George Boughey BUMAAN
• 18 Mar 2026 6:00 Kempton Handicap 7f George Boughey HARDSTYLE
• 18 Mar 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Kieran Burke JAZZY BABY ✅
• 18 Mar 2026 7:30 Kempton Handicap 6f Mark Loughnane INVINCIBLE SPEED ✅
• 18 Mar 2026 8:00 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f Kieran Burke IMPERIAL DECISION
• 18 Mar 2026 8:30 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f Tony Carroll TORTURED SOUL ✅

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Kempton Betting Analysis

7:00 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Jazzy Baby (11/4) is having her second handicap run. She has Loughnane aboard this time, plus she's entitle to improve a little. She can win this outright from trap one.

7:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 11/4 Jazzy Baby (3rd 3/1)

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7:30 Kempton ❖ 6f C5 Handicap ❖ Invincible Speed (7/1) needs to find a couple of lengths. He's running well at present, drawn well, has a pound pull with the fav and has Billy Loughnane in the saddle today. With that in mind, I'll take my chances at the price on offer. It should be close.

7:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Invincible Speed (4th 11/2) Midfield, shaken up over 1f out, plugged on without threatening, 4th.

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8:30 Kempton ❖ 1m 3f C5 Handicap ❖ Tortured Soul (6/1) has been backed down from a large looking 9/1. Another who has a couple of lengths to find. I expect the presence of the more aggressive rider Billy Loughnane, plus the decent draw, to see this one challenging at the business end of the race from slightly closer than off the pace, as he did last time out.

8:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Tortured Soul (2nd 6/1)

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