Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this afternoon is the bank holiday monday Easter meeting. Four races are on ITV (schedule) (2:55 ~ 3:30 ~ 4:05 ~ 4:40) which includes the 9f Magnolia Stakes.

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ Obvious choice is Champion Jockey Oisin Murphy 𝕏. Secondarily, I always like to keep on the right side of Rossa Ryan 𝕏 ~ he has five rides on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy or Rossa Ryan is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Apr 2026 1:45 Kempton 3yo+ Novice Stakes 6f John Butler ZAIN PRIMUS
• 6 Apr 2026 2:20 Kempton 3-5yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m Andrew Balding EASTERN VEIL
• 6 Apr 2026 2:55 Kempton Magnolia Stakes 1m 2f Andrew Balding PLAGE DE HAVRE
• 6 Apr 2026 3:30 Kempton Handicap 1m 4f Andrew Balding TOPTEAM ✅
• 6 Apr 2026 5:15 Kempton Handicap 1m Chris Dwyer BERRY CLEVER

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Apr 2026 1:45 Kempton 3yo+ Novice Stakes 6f Clive Cox HUGH
• 6 Apr 2026 2:20 Kempton 3-5yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m Roger Teal BARBUDA BAY
• 6 Apr 2026 3:30 Kempton Handicap 1m 4f Alan King MIDNIGHT RUMBLE
• 6 Apr 2026 4:40 Kempton Handicap 1m John Butler FINAL NIGHT
• 6 Apr 2026 5:15 Kempton Handicap 1m Stuart Williams CANDONOMORE ✅

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Kempton Betting Analysis

3:30 Kempton ❖ 1m 4f C3 Handicap ❖ Topteam (5/1) cannot be ignored with Murphy in the saddle. He's running well on the turf and will surely improve his not so great AW record here today.

3:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Topteam (Won 9/2)

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5:15 Kempton ❖ 1m C4 Handicap ❖ Candonomore (9/1) has some decent AW form over various distances. Looking at the draw, the jockeys, the overall shape of the race, I am inclined to believe Candonomore has been overlooked somewhat judging by the price on offer.

He even drifted out to 12/1 at some point, which has been taken now. He is 12/1 on the exchanges though. I am hopeful that is a marker of where he'll end up in the betting. Hence, I reckon I'll maybe get 16's in the P2P markets. He's never a 16/1 shot ~ So I'll play..

5:15 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Candonomore (2nd 11/1)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's bank holiday meeting at Wolverhampton on the All Weather starts at 1:55 with an apprentice handicap. It is a eight race card with seven handicaps to choose from. I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am looking to this follow closely here today has to be Hector Crouch 𝕏. He has four rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Crouch is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BHECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Apr 2026 3:05 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Ed Dunlop BALLON ROUGE
• 6 Apr 2026 3:40 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f James Tate KULLAZAIN
• 6 Apr 2026 4:50 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f James Owen VON KROLOCK
• 6 Apr 2026 5:25 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f James Owen SIMPLY BLUE ✅

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:25 Wolverhampton ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Simply Blue (7/2) got caught wide last time. Previously ran well over 7f but got caught late on. The drop back to 6f looks like a winning move to me with Crouch aboard.

5:25 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 7/2 Simply Blue (Won 7/2)

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Wolverhampton Results - Monday April 6 2026. Going: Standard

13:55 1. 4 Coloane 11/10F 2. 1 The Ubermensch 7/2 Tote Win 2.10 Places 1.30, 2.40 Exacta: 5.70 CSF: 5.19 Tricast: 41.53 Trifecta: 45.90 Winning Jockey: C J Whiteley Winning Trainer: Roger Fell Distances: Neck Coloane 11/10 F 7 ran Non Runners 8	14:30 1. 4 Lover Girl 11/2 2. 1 Amber Ocean 9/1 3. 8 Pershaada 10/11F Tote Win 6.50 Places 1.80, 2.30, 1.10 Exacta: 45.50 CSF: 54.34 Trifecta: 104.60 Winning Jockey: D Egan Winning Trainer: K P De Foy Distances: 1 1/2 length, Short Head Pershaada 10/11 F 8 ran
15:05 1. 2 Magician of Riga 3/1 2. 1 Kelly Burn 1/1F Tote Win 5.40 Places 1.90, 1.50 Exacta: 9.50 CSF: 6.75 Trifecta: 140.20 Winning Jockey: S M Levey Winning Trainer: R Hannon Distances: 2 1/4 lengths Kelly Burn 1/1 F 7 ran	15:40 1. 2 Elements Of Fire 10/3 2. 4 Yankee Dude 20/1 Tote Win 4.34 Places 1.70, 8.00 Exacta: 51.60 CSF: 57.65 Trifecta: 352.00 Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle Winning Trainer: A Watson Distances: 1 3/4 length Recency Bias 6/4 F 6 ran
16:15 1. 2 V Power 10/1 2. 11 Regal Glory 10/1 3. 4 King's Cruiser 15/8F Tote Win 11.00 Places 3.00, 3.00, 1.40 Exacta: 133.80 CSF: 106.49 Tricast: 272.74 Trifecta: 472.30 Winning Jockey: Miss Zoe Lewis Winning Trainer: T Faulkner Distances: 1 3/4 length, 3/4 length King's Cruiser 15/8 F 10 ran Non Runners 5	16:50 1. 8 Von Krolock 9/2 2. 2 Rye 13/2 3. 7 Rain Cap 14/1 Tote Win 5.50 Places 1.60, 1.70, 3.90 Exacta: 31.50 CSF: 34.00 Tricast: 382.84 Trifecta: 289.20 Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch Winning Trainer: James Owen Distances: 2 lengths, Neck Dancing With Drums 7/2 F 9 ran
17:25 1. 4 Simply Blue 7/2 2. 5 Forever Noah 9/2 3. 1 Mount Ruapehu 5/2F Tote Win 5.20 Places 1.60, 3.80, 1.40 Exacta: 19.30 CSF: 19.80 Tricast: 46.02 Trifecta: 76.70 Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch Winning Trainer: James Owen Distances: Neck, 2 1/2 lengths Mount Ruapehu 5/2 F 9 ran

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's seven race card that features five handicaps that I might be able to capture a winner from.

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❖ Jockey ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides 5lb claimer Jack Callan 𝕏 has booked ~ he has a 21% strike rate here this season. He has three rides early in the meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Apr 2026 1:55 Southwell Handicap 6f David Loughnane BEELZEBUB ✅
• 5 Apr 2026 2:31 Southwell Handicap 7f S Woods LOBLOLLY
• 5 Apr 2026 3:41 Southwell Handicap 1m George Boughey LIKENESS

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Southwell Betting Analysis

1:55 Southwell ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Beelzebub (6/1) has an obvious chance.

Conclusion: Returns quickly to the scene of an unlucky defeat with the aid of Jack Callan's 5lb claim. I am not sure why the overnight drift in the market, but I'll quickly take the price nonetheless.

1:55 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Beelzebub (Unp 12/1)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting comes from Dunstall Park (wolver). It is a seven race card with five handicaps to choose from. I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am looking to this follow closely this evening is the youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏. He has four rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Loughnane is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Apr 2026 5:15 Wolverhampton 3yo C3 Maiden 1m 4f Charlie Appleby CHASING TIME
• 4 Apr 2026 6:20 Wolverhampton 3-5yo C4 Maiden 7f George Boughey ACTION REACTION
• 4 Apr 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Charlie Johnston PRIDE OF DONEGAL
• 4 Apr 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m George Boughey ZOUSTELLAR ✅

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

8:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C6 3yo Hcp ❖ Zoustellar (5/1) probably would have won last time out without a shed~load of things going wrong, that on another day wouldn't have. I guess one could argue he's a winner without a penalty.

On that basis, small field of six, Loughnane aboard, decent draw, fair price, I'll play.

8:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Zoustellar (3rd 4/1)

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17:15 1. 1 Chasing Time 4/5F 2. 2 Killer Whale 15/8 Tote Win 1.80 Places , Exacta: 2.30 CSF: 2.55 Trifecta: 2.10 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: C Appleby Distances: 3 1/2 lengths Chasing Time 4/5 F 3 ran	17:50 1. 5 Coloane 2/1F 2. 7 Book Of Life 4/1 3. 4 Orbital Chime 4/1 Tote Win 3.00 Places 1.40, 1.90, 1.90 Exacta: 10.40 CSF: 10.58 Tricast: 29.90 Trifecta: 65.10 Winning Jockey: C J Whiteley Winning Trainer: Roger Fell Distances: Short Head, 1/2 length Coloane 2/1 F 8 ran
18:20 1. 2 Constant Star 11/8F 2. 8 Imelda 12/1 3. 4 Safe Zone 4/1 Tote Win 2.38 Places 1.20, 2.90, 1.70 Exacta: 21.00 CSF: 21.13 Trifecta: 120.20 Winning Jockey: Luke Morris Winning Trainer: Tom Clover Distances: 1 3/4 length, Head Constant Star 11/8 F 8 ran	18:55 1. 1 Kirkdale 9/4 2. 3 Lequinto 10/1 3. 7 Punchbowl Flyer 16/1 Tote Win 3.25 Places 1.30, 2.90, 2.50 Exacta: 24.80 CSF: 25.96 Tricast: 299.04 Trifecta: 155.80 Winning Jockey: Callum Rodriguez Winning Trainer: E Bethell Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 length Cayman Tai 7/4 F 9 ran
19:30 1. 3 Pride Of Donegal 11/8F 2. 1 Charmaine 4/1 Tote Win 2.38 Places 1.10, 2.20 Exacta: 7.60 CSF: 7.32 Trifecta: 14.60 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: C Johnston Distances: 4 3/4 lengths Pride Of Donegal 11/8 F 7 ran	20:00 1. 3 Betweenthesticks 8/1 2. 2 Shalaa Asker 6/1 3. 4 Blue Force 9/2 Tote Win 9.00 Places 2.60, 2.00, 1.50 Exacta: 55.70 CSF: 54.65 Tricast: 245.04 Trifecta: 404.10 Winning Jockey: J P Sullivan Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr Distances: Head, 1 length Amerjeet 4/1 F 8 ran
20:30 1. 4 Karakula Dancer 6/4F 2. 1 Lexington Express 16/5 Tote Win 2.50 Places 1.30, 2.00 Exacta: 6.60 CSF: 6.68 Trifecta: 13.40 Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt Winning Trainer: J Ferguson Distances: Neck Karakula Dancer 6/4 F 5 ran Non Runners 2

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's seven race card that features six handicaps.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides Cieren Fallon 𝕏 has booked ~ he has a 20% strike rate here this season. He has two rides for powerful stables.

I will also be looking at all of the horses ridden by fellow Irishman Rossa Ryan very closely. He always rides well on any AW track I feel. He has three rides later this evening.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey CIERAN FALLON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Apr 2026 5:10 Southwell 3yo Fillies Maiden 1m William Haggis PALACE ARTOIS
• 2 Apr 2026 7:48 Southwell Handicap 2m James Owen A MERE BAGATELLE ✅

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Apr 2026 5:48 Southwell Handicap 6f Michael Appleby MR LIGHTSIDE ✅
• 2 Apr 2026 7:48 Southwell Handicap 2m Jack Jones ROGUE JUSTICE
• 2 Apr 2026 8:18 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f John Butler SOLANNA ✅

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Southwell Betting Analysis

5:48 Southwell ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Mr Lightside (8/1) has every chance here today with Rossa Ryan aboard.

Conclusion: Usually runs over 5f but can operate at 6f. The mark he's on now, gives Ryan every chance of collaring the outright win at a reasonable price.

5:48 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Mr Lightside (4th 8/1)

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7:48 Southwell ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ A Mere Bagatelle (8/1) will almost certainly be up there.

Conclusion: Fit from thr jumps, with Irish form thats translates to what looks like a winning chance here, Cieren Fallon aboard, I have high hopes of a collect.

7:48 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 A Mere Bagatelle (2nd 9/1)

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8:18 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Solanna (3/1) should go in again I feel.

Conclusion: Won well enough under Rossa Ryan on his first trip on him. The quick follow up leads me to believe the pairing can defy the 2lb rise by the Capper.

8:18 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Solanna (4th 2/1f)

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