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Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's nine race card that features seven handicaps, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Paddy Bradley 𝕏 rides (3).

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PADDY BRADLEY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Feb 2026 6:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 4f Pat Morris HAVACHOC ✅
• 5 Feb 2026 7:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Pat Morris BAJAN BANDIT ✅
• 5 Feb 2026 7:30 Southwell Handicap 7f James Owen SIMPLY BLUE ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

6:00 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Havachoc (4/1) stormed home last time.

Conclusion: The 5lb rise for Havachock's latest win in a classified event at Wolverhamton is fair, but in that form, I think he'll go in again.

6:00 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Havachoc (Won 5/2f from 4's)

7:00 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Bajan Bandit (15/2) is running well at present.

Conclusion: Every chance of taking this outright from a mark of 71. Bradley has ridden him before and will be looking to get a winner on this one this evening for sure.

7:00 South ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Bajan Bandit (Unp 13/2)

7:30 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Simply Blue (16/1) has drifted from 7/1 out to 16's.

Conclusion: In good form, can win this, but has drifted fairly alarmingly overnight. I presume being drawn out in the car park has scared punters off. You can win from any draw at Southwell, so I am unconcerned. At the price, I'll take my chances, win only. Small stakes is all that is needed at the price.

7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Simply Blue (Unp 14/1)

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This evening's 7 race card features 6 handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this evening are the Old Warhorse Luke Morris ~ he has three rides on the card and also Rossa Ryan ~ he has three rides also.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Luke Morris is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Feb 2026 5:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f James Owen SECRET ROAD ✅
• 3 Feb 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f Nigel & Willy Twiston Davies MAYWEDANCE ✅
• 3 Feb 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m James Owen THANH NAM

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Feb 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Tony Carroll BETSEN
• 3 Feb 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f Alan King ONE COOL DREAMER
• 3 Feb 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f David Loughnane FAR TOO FIZZY (Non Runner)

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Secret Road (4/1) is running well at the moment. With Luke Morris aboard and a more favourable draw than the two in the betting above him, who should really beat him, I'll take my chances they will find him too good having to recover from awkward racing positions.

7:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Secret Road (4th 5/1)

7:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 2m C5 Hcp ❖ Maywedance 25/1 while seemingly up against it, looks way overpriced to me in comparison to his actual chance of winning ~ in my opinion.

He has some reasonable efforts over the distance on turf on good to firm, from a stone higher or so, and may well just surprise them on the wet AW Tapeta, that runs quite quick when the rain gets into it and firms up the surface. A fact most punters pay no attention to.

7:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 25/1 Maywedance

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This evening's 7 race card features 6 handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am looking to this evening is the old Warhorse Luke Morris ~ he has four rides on the card.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Luke Morris is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Feb 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Joe Ponting COLORS OF FREEDOM
• 2 Feb 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Mark Loughnane STIPULATION
• 2 Feb 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 2m 1f Rob Stephens SNEAKY BLINDER ✅
• 2 Feb 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Bill Knight ATHENIAN SPIRIT

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

7:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 2m C5 Hcp ❖ Sneaky Blinder 16/1 has spots of reasonable enough form over the C&D. Upped in grade by a touch, he now gets to run with a stone or so less on his back than last time out, where he ran no race (finished lame). I am expecting a bolder show today, even though they are arguably slightly better horses to deal with.

At the 16/1 on offer, I'll take my chances to small stakes, win only.

7:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Sneaky Blinder (2nd 18/1)

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with a 1m 2f C3 handicap at 4:25. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on top jockey Paul Mulrennan 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well. He has five rides.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 31 Jan 2026 4:25 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f David & Nicola Barron GOOD MORNING ALEX
• 31 Jan 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 5f Ben Haslam PAL JOEY ✅
• 31 Jan 2026 5:55 Newcastle Handicap 7f Ben Haslam WAR HOWL
• 31 Jan 2026 6:25 Newcastle Handicap 1m Jim Goldie ANNANDALE ✅
• 31 Jan 2026 7:25 Newcastle Handicap 7f Jim Goldie ANA EMARAATY ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:55 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Pal Joey (8/1) has a 50% better chance of the outright win than the odds suggest. I'll play..

2:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Pal Joey (Won 8/1)

6:25 Newcastle ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Annandale (16/1) usually runs over further, but make no mistake, he is capable of running these down on his day. With Mulrennan aboard, plus the way over the odds 16/1 available, I'll have a small win only bet.

6:25 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Annandale (Unp 20/1)

7:25 Newcastle ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Anna Emmaraaty (6/1) has a 3lb rise to contend with for his C&D win a week ago. At the price on offer, I'll see if he can follow up with what arguably would be a career best run if he pulls it off again today. He's in the kind of form that could see just that happen.

7:25 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Anna Emmaraaty (Unp 15/2)

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first saturday racing AW meeting comes from Lingfield. An eight race card with four handicaps, the 30K C2 Winter Derby trial at 1:05 and the 60K C1 Listed Kachy Stakes to watch over. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is Irishman Rossa Ryan 𝕏. He rides Lingfield's quirky track very well. He has five rides this afternoon.

❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Rossa Ryan horses very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 31 Jan 2026 1:38 Lingfield 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 2f Kevin Frost AL BAAHY
• 31 Jan 2026 2:15 Lingfield 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 2f Kevin Frost NEWFIRE
• 31 Jan 2026 2:50 Lingfield Listed Kachy Stakes 6f Clive Cox DILIGENT HARRY ✅
• 31 Jan 2026 3:55 Lingfield Handicap 5f Stuart Williams DIOMED SPIRIT ✅
• 31 Jan 2026 4:30 Lingfield Handicap 1m Jim Boyle DANDY KHAN

Lingfield Betting Analysis

2:50 Lingfield ❖ 6f Cl Kachy Stakes ❖ Diligent Harry (15/2) comes up against the talking horses with the big reputations and buzz behind them at the stables for the most part. On the racetrack is where it counts and Harry has the All Weather form benchmark they have to overcome as far as I'm concerned. The 15/2 on offer therefore, is plenty fair enough to warrant an interest. Win Only. Shit or bust!

2:50 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Diligent Harry (DH 1st 7/1)

3:55 Lingfield ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Diomed Spirit (15/2) is plenty good enough to take this with Ryan aboard. He won over the C&D the last time they were seen on the track together. Today, despite the 3lb extra in the weights, I foresee another win, albeit a tight one.

3:55 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Diomed Spirit (Unp 13/2)

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This evening's 8 race card features 5 handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The first jockey I am looking to this evening is Hector Crouch ~ he has 7 rides this evening.

My second string is the old Warhorse Luke Morris ~ he has seven rides on the card.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give both Hector Crouch mounts a close up look on form. Also take into account anything Luke Morris is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 30 Jan 2026 5:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Michael Bell CARDINAL POINT
• 30 Jan 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m James Tate SPECIAL GHAIYYATH ✅

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 30 Jan 2026 5:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f David Simcock MELEK ALREEH
• 30 Jan 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m John Gallagher FIRST ENCOUNTER ✅
• 30 Jan 2026 6:30 Wolverhampton 3~4yo Novice Stakes 1m Sir Mark Prescott SI WHITE
• 30 Jan 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Hugo Palmer PHANTOM WATCH
• 30 Jan 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m David Simcock HITCHED
• 30 Jan 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Lemos De Souza MARSEILLAN
• 30 Jan 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Martin Dunne SAM'S HOPE

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

6:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C6 Classified Stakes ❖ First Encounter 5/1 will run the legs off these late on in this lowly affair under the guidance of Luke Morris from the three box.

6:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 First Encounter (Won 9/2)

7:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Special Ghaiyyath 5/1 is the clear fav in my book, if you put a line through his extroadinarily bad performance last time out.

7:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Special Ghaiyyath (3rd 9/3CF)