SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's eight race card that features five handicaps.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides of Ray Dawson 𝕏 who regularly rides for a couple of powerful stables.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey RAY DAWSON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 21 May 2026 5:57 Southwell Handicap 5f Michael Appleby FANTASY OBSESSOR ✅
• 21 May 2026 6:30 Southwell 3yo+ Maiden 1m Roger Varian AFFETTUOSO
• 21 May 2026 7:00 Southwell 3yo Fillies Maiden 1m Roger Varian SOUND GLORIA
• 21 May 2026 8:00 Southwell Handicap 7f Kevin Frost AMAYSMONT ✅
• 21 May 2026 9:00 Southwell Handicap 6f John & Sean Quinn ONE MORE DREAM

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Southwell Betting Analysis

5:57 Southwell ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Fantasy Obsessor (7/2) just looks better than the opposition.

Conclusion: A handy draw in trap one, a reasonable run in second three days ago at Wolver, I think she'll whizz past them late on today over the Southwell straight five.

5:57 South ~ Win Bet: 7/2 Fantasy Obsessor

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8:00 Southwell ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Amaysmont (5/1) is a better horse on the AW surfaces than turf.

Conclusion: The return to the AW after a run at Doncaster will likely prove to be a winning move today I feel.

8:00 South ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Amaysmont

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Kempton AW Code Breaker

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible. We have an eight race card with five handicaps on offer for us to hopefully find a winner from.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting, I will be concentrating on Champion jockey Oisin Murphy 𝕏.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton Betting Analysis

7:30 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Man Of Desert (5/1) hinted at a return to form last time out here over the C&D. The presence of Oisin Murphy today, allied with the 3lb further drop in mark, plus a decent draw, will put him right in the funzone I feel.

I note he was 9/1 overnight, now down to a still fair looking 5/1. Whoever got nines did well.

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7:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Man Of Desert (Unp 4/1)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Tuesday May 19 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Today's AW meeting comes from Newcastle and features four handicaps on a seven race card. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on Jason Hart 𝕏 ~ he rides the Newcastle straight course quite well I feel ~ he has four rides.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 19 May 2026 3:00 Newcastle 3yo+ Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 4f Charlie Johnston LA TOSCA
• 19 May 2026 4:35 Newcastle Handicap 5f Ed Dunlop ZOUSTAR DREAMS ✅
• 19 May 2026 5:05 Newcastle Handicap 6f Ed Dunlop HEN PARTY
• 19 May 2026 5:35 Newcastle Handicap 7f John & Sean Quinn RED MIRAGE

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:35 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Zoustar Dreams (13/2) ran her best ever race here over the straight 5f. She returns with a falling mark after a few races elsewhere. I think they'll have trouble catching her today.

4:35 Newc ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Zoustar Dreams (Unp 13/2)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting at Wolverhampton starts at 6:00 and goes through to the 9:00 nightcap. It is a seven race card with four handicaps to choose from. I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this evening are Champion Jock Oisin Murphy 𝕏 who has five rides.

Also I will be scrutinising all of the Luke Morris 𝕏 horses ~ the old warhorse has five rides this evening.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Oisin Murphy and Luke Morris is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 18 May 2026 6:30 Wolverhampton 2yo Novice Stakes 5f Richard Hughes AGAMEMNON
• 18 May 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton 3-5yo Restricted Novice Stakes 1m S Bin Suroor MOUNTAIN CAT
• 18 May 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f James Ferguson KARAKULA
• 18 May 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Olly Sangster COURT OF STARS
• 18 May 2026 9:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f David Menuisier ROMANTIC SPIRIT (Non Runner)

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 18 May 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Tony Carroll MAGNA
• 18 May 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton 3-5yo Restricted Novice Stakes 1m James Tate ZABEEL SMALL
• 18 May 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Mark Loughnane STIPULATION ✅
• 18 May 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f William Knight SEEING STARS ✅
• 18 May 2026 9:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Sr Mark Prescott DESERT BELLE

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

8:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 9.5f C6 Hcp ❖ Stipulation (12/1) is coming off a 4 month break so is a tentative pick. However, he will be right there at the finish if he doesn't need the run. The 12/1 on offer after the overnight drift from 4/1 is very generous looking, so a small stakes, win only bet can't do any harm at the odds.

8:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Stipulation (Unp 11/1)

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8:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Seeing Stars (10/3) and Luke Morris take on Court Of Stars (11/8f) and Oisin Murphy. Should be close. I think Morris will win the cigar.

8:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 10/3 Seeing Stars (3rd 3/1)

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Wolverhampton Results - Monday May 18 2026. Going: Standard

18:00 1. 5 Midnight Call 7/4F 2. 3 Fantasy Obsessor 7/2 3. 2 Magna 9/4 Tote Win 2.75 Places 1.10, 3.20, 1.10 Exacta: 10.90 CSF: 8.01 Tricast: 13.84 Trifecta: 27.50 Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle Winning Trainer: A W Carroll Distances: 3/4 length, 1 length Midnight Call 7/4 F 8 ran Non Runners 4	18:30 1. 1 Agamemnon 4/5F 2. 6 Undercover Affair 17/2 Tote Win 1.80 Places 1.10, 3.40 Exacta: 6.90 CSF: 8.57 Trifecta: 22.70 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: R Hughes Distances: 2 3/4 lengths Agamemnon 4/5 F 7 ran
19:00 1. 2 Mountain Cat 1/14F 2. 6 Zabeel Small 10/1 Tote Win 1.10 Places 1.10, 1.60 Exacta: 2.00 CSF: 1.82 Trifecta: 5.80 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: S bin Suroor Distances: 3 1/4 lengths Mountain Cat 1/14 F 6 ran Non Runners 3	19:30 1. 2 Estissa 15/2 2. 3 Morven 17/2 Tote Win 8.50 Places 2.60, 3.10 Exacta: 56.20 CSF: 64.70 Trifecta: 136.20 Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt Winning Trainer: J R Fanshawe Distances: Head Symbol Of Majesty 6/5 F 7 ran
20:00 1. 2 Bizou 11/4F 2. 7 Karakula 10/3 3. 8 Silkies Sib 6/1 Tote Win 3.75 Places 1.40, 1.40, 2.00 Exacta: 13.00 CSF: 12.44 Tricast: 50.70 Trifecta: 69.20 Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby Winning Trainer: J G Portman Distances: Short Head, 1 length Bizou 11/4 F 8 ran	20:30 1. 8 Espona Bay 10/1 2. 3 Court Of Stars 6/4F 3. 1 Seeing Stars 3/1 Tote Win 11.60 Places 2.70, 1.30, 1.70 Exacta: 39.60 CSF: 25.97 Tricast: 61.03 Trifecta: 102.30 Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill Winning Trainer: S Dixon Distances: Head, 1 1/4 length Court Of Stars 6/4 F 10 ran
21:00 1. 6 Kelly Burn 7/4 2. 1 Free Speech 12/1 Tote Win 2.75 Places 1.10, 3.60 Exacta: 18.60 CSF: 19.78 Trifecta: 61.50 Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle Winning Trainer: J R Fanshawe Distances: Head Desert Belle 6/4 F 5 ran Non Runners 2

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Tuesday May 12 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's AW meeting comes from Leafy Lingfield. A seven race card with five handicaps to muse over.

I will be looking to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ Today I'm concentrating on the youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏. He has five rides booked.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Billy Loughnane runners very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 12 May 2026 6:20 Lingfield 3yo+ Novice Stakes 7f JC Hyam ESKIMO PIE
• 12 May 2026 6:50 Lingfield Handicap 7f Olly Sangster LOVETHISWAYAGAIN ✅
• 12 May 2026 7:20 Lingfield Handicap 1m George Boughey ZATSGOOD
• 12 May 2026 7:50 Lingfield Handicap 7f James Tate INSIDE STORY ✅
• 12 May 2026 8:20 Lingfield Handicap 1m 4f Marl Loughnane PENZANCE ✅

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

6:50 Lingfield ❖ 7f C6 3yo Hcp ❖ Lovethiswayagain (9/2) may well have needed her last run. If that was the case, she may well be a fair way better than these looking at her previous mark.

6:50 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Lovethiswayagain (Unp 6/1)

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7:50 Lingfield ❖ 7f C4 Hcp ❖ Inside Story (5/1) is another Loughnane ridden horse on this evening's card that looked in need of the run last time out. Looks like a decent race, but I feel she can maybe nick it.

7:50 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Inside Story (4th 7/2)

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8:20 Lingfield ❖ 1m 4f C4 Hcp ❖ Penzance (11/1) previously a 100 rated horse now on 82 having his second run for his new Mark Loughnane stable. Billy Loughnbane takes the ride today. Could well be a surprise in store for the rest of them.

8:20 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 11/1 Penzance (2nd 7/1 from 11's)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting at Wolverhampton starts at 6:30 and goes through to the 9:00 nightcap. It is a six race card with four handicaps to choose from. I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this evening are Champion Jock Oisin Murphy 𝕏 who has six rides.

Also I will be scrutinising all of the Billy Loughnane 𝕏 horses ~ he has four rides this evening.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Oisin Murphy and Billy Loughnane is on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 11 May 2026 6:30 Wolverhampton 2yo Novice Stakes 6f Jack Morland CYDNEY SWEENIE
• 11 May 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f John McConnell FINE PRINT ✅
• 11 May 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f John Butler WAVE ROCK
• 11 May 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton 3yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 1f John Thady Godsen CELESTRA
• 11 May 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Ollie Sangster STREET DANCER
• 11 May 2026 9:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Andrew Balding EASTERN VEIL

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 11 May 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f Nick Littmoden GREEN TEAM
• 11 May 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Mark Loughnane CRAFTER ✅
• 11 May 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Willy Muir SIMBA'S GIFT
• 11 May 2026 9:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Heather Main SQUIFFY

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

7:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ Fine Print (9/2) is having his second run in the UK and Oisin Murphy is booked to take over the ride. He has 1.5l to find. I would make this one fav.

7:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Fine Print (2nd 10/3)

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7:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 9.5f C6 Hcp ❖ Crafter (10/1) has the form in the book to surprise a few here judging by the prices. Well drawn on the inner, Loughnane aboard, running well enough currently. I'll play.

7:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Crafter (Unp 14/1)

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Wolverhampton Results - Monday May 11 2026. Going: Standard

18:30 1. 6 Indian Land 7/2 2. 2 Blake's Monarch 10/1 3. 10 Cydney Sweenie 11/8F Tote Win 4.80 Places 1.50, 2.50, 1.70 Exacta: 45.20 CSF: 39.30 Trifecta: 135.90 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: R M Beckett Distances: Short Head, 1/2 length Cydney Sweenie 11/8 F 11 ran Non Runners 8 11	19:00 1. 1 Tuba 11/4F 2. 9 Fine Print 10/3 3. 5 V Power 10/1 Tote Win 3.80 Places 1.60, 2.30, 3.00 Exacta: 12.30 CSF: 11.73 Tricast: 75.71 Trifecta: 69.80 Winning Jockey: Gina Mangan Winning Trainer: F O'Brien Distances: Neck, 7 1/2 lengths Tuba 11/4 F 9 ran
19:30 1. 3 Wave Rock 2/1F 2. 2 Merapi 10/1 3. 10 Arlecchino's Rex 6/1 Tote Win 3.00 Places 1.50, 2.50, 2.50 Exacta: 24.60 CSF: 24.46 Tricast: 109.17 Trifecta: 137.70 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: J Butler Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length Wave Rock 2/1 F 11 ran	20:00 1. 2 She Commands 4/1 2. 6 Wild Violet 10/1 Tote Win 5.00 Places 1.40, 3.90 Exacta: 43.10 CSF: 37.34 Trifecta: 46.90 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: R M Beckett Distances: 1 1/4 length Celestra 30/100 F 6 ran
20:30 1. 11 Street Dancer 5/4F 2. 2 South Kensington 7/1 3. 1 Captain Pickles 9/2 Tote Win 2.25 Places 1.20, 2.40, 1.50 Exacta: 13.50 CSF: 11.54 Tricast: 38.42 Trifecta: 59.80 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 4 1/2 lengths Street Dancer 5/4 F 13 ran	21:00 1. 5 Crystal Pier 5/1 2. 6 Lady Milton 11/4 Tote Win 6.00 Places 2.30, 3.10 Exacta: 18.40 CSF: 19.12 Trifecta: 145.80 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: R M Beckett Distances: Short Head Eastern Veil 9/4 F 7 ran