SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to crack the Wolverhampton AW code on this evening's 9 race card, which features 5 handicaps, in as few words as possible.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ Today it's 30yr old top Irish born jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) who has 5 rides.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
• 16 Sep 2025 4:25 Wolverhampton Selling Stakes 1m J Fanshawe NANNY PARK ✅
• 16 Sep 2025 4:55 Wolverhampton Stakes 6f Charlie Jonston DANDY SPEED
• 16 Sep 2025 6:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Martin Dunne SAM'S HOPE
• 16 Sep 2025 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Mike Herrington BIZARRE LAW
• 16 Sep 2025 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f J Fanshawe HARRYELLA

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

4:25 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C4 Seller ❖ Nanny Park (EVENS) The even money is quite generous with Murphy in the saddle.

4:25 Wolver ~ Win Bet: EV Nanny Park (3rd 8/11f) (jockey changed)

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8:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 9.5f Handicap ❖ Init Together 12/1 Harryella is the rightful 7/4f under Oisin Murphy, but he has a penalty and a unhappy draw to overcome.

The bet worth taking is Init Together under Marco Ghiani from the Tony Carroll yard. He has some decent C&D runs under his belt in this grade. He should arguably be a close 2nd fav drawn in trap two. The 12/1 on offer is way over the top.

8:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Init Together (Unp 11/1)

Wolverhampton Results - sept 16 2025. Going: standard

16:25 1. 1 Good Banter 2/1 2. 5 Babychino 25/1 Tote Win 3.00 Places 1.50, 9.10 Exacta: 43.90 CSF: 42.36 Trifecta: 110.20 Winning Jockey: George Wood Winning Trainer: J Candlish Distances: 2 1/4 lengths Nanny Park 8/11 F 6 ran Non Runners 4	16:55 1. 10 Ghisa 20/1 2. 6 Justmyluck 10/3 3. 5 From The Hip 6/1 Tote Win 21.00 Places 5.20, 1.80, 1.90 Exacta: 114.30 CSF: 87.71 Trifecta: 1142.30 Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne Winning Trainer: Ollie Pears Distances: 1 length, 1 1/4 length Dandy Speed 11/4 F 10 ran Non Runners 1
17:25 1. 7 Ten Carat Harry 11/1 2. 2 Escape Plan 5/1 3. 10 Melodical 10/3 Tote Win 9.60 Places 2.60, 1.70, 1.30 Exacta: 35.10 CSF: 41.39 Trifecta: 159.70 Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne Winning Trainer: J A Osborne Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 1 1/4 length Indefensible 5/2 F 8 ran Non Runners 6	18:00 1. 2 Grey Jaguar 11/8F 2. 1 Brakeman 6/4 Tote Win 2.38 Places 1.40, 1.10 Exacta: 5.20 CSF: 3.89 Trifecta: 9.00 Winning Jockey: Clifford Lee Winning Trainer: J Tate Distances: 1/2 length Grey Jaguar 11/8 F 7 ran
18:30 1. 8 Sam's Hope 4/5F 2. 4 Kurimu 50/1 3. 11 Havana Miss 28/1 Tote Win 1.80 Places 1.10, 15.50, 6.70 Exacta: 65.50 CSF: 75.55 Tricast: 799.58 Trifecta: 793.50 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: Martin Dunne Distances: 4 1/2 lengths, Nose Sam's Hope 4/5 F 11 ran Non Runners 3	19:00 1. 13 Advertorial 11/2 2. 11 Lumberjack 50/1 3. 7 Forglen 11/4F Tote Win 6.70 Places 2.10, 16.70, 1.80 Exacta: 257.00 CSF: 276.69 Tricast: 937.24 Trifecta: 2084.30 Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani Winning Trainer: E A L Dunlop Distances: Head, 1 1/2 length Forglen 11/4 F 12 ran Non Runners 9
19:30 1. 10 Groundsman 5/1 2. 7 Bomb Squad 12/1 3. 4 Bizarre Law 4/1 Tote Win 6.70 Places 2.40, 3.30, 1.60 Exacta: 75.70 CSF: 67.36 Tricast: 276.60 Trifecta: 470.80 Winning Jockey: Jack Garritty Winning Trainer: R A Fahey Distances: 1 1/4 length, Head Harbour Vision 7/2 F 10 ran Non Runners 1	20:00 1. 7 Stipulation 5/1 2. 1 Harryella 7/4F 3. 4 Masqool 10/1 Tote Win 6.20 Places 1.60, 1.30, 3.10 Exacta: 19.00 CSF: 15.06 Tricast: 91.40 Trifecta: 124.40 Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle Winning Trainer: D M Loughnane Distances: Head, 3 lengths Harryella 7/4 F 12 ran Non Runners 10

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton on the All Weather this evening is a 9 race card. There are 5 handicaps for me to look at. I will attempt to crack the Kemp All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I am concentrating on 30 yr old top jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) for this evening's meeting. He has 3 handicap rides.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No trainer in particular catches my eye today.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Murphy is on is well drawn, give it a close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 15 Sep 2025 6:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Andrew Balding FALMOUTH LAD ✅
• 15 Sep 2025 6:30 Kempton Handicap 1m Mark Loughnane TORALOU ✅
• 15 Sep 2025 8:00 Kempton Handicap 2m Charlie Johnston SAX APPEAL

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Kempton Betting Analysis

6:00 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Falmouth Lad (4/1) won well last time up and with the aid of Murphy on board for the first time, has every chance of following up.

6:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Falmouth Lad (Won 5/2f)

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6:30 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Toralou (4/1) looks like a solid fav to me, but is priced up as 3rd fav, and with Murphy taking the reins, should take all the beating.

6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Toralou (Unp 11/2)

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8:00 Kempton ❖ 2m C4 Hcp ❖ Sax Appeal (EVf) looks the likely winner, but at Even money he's not worth the risk. He has the field to beat and a penalty to overcome, so not for me, even with Murphy on board.

# No Bet.

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Saturday Sept 13 2025

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Lingfield this saturday afternoon is 7 race card with 6 handicaps to look at. I will attempt to crack the Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The main jockey I am concentrating on today is Jack Mitchell ~ who has a decent record at Lingfield. He has 31 wins from 131 rides over the last couple of years. That's a win rate of approx 24%. He has 2 rides here today.

I will also be taking a look at the 3 rides the young Harry Davies (20) has today. He has a 26% strike rate at Lingfield this season.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's meeting, although many of Mitchell's wins are for Roger Varian.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out both of Jack Mitchell's rides.
• ❖ Also eyeball both of Harry Davies' handicap rides.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey JACK MITCHELL

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 13 Sep 2025 2:33 Lingfield Handicap 1m Roger Varian THE NEW BAY PEARL
• 13 Sep 2025 5:00 Lingfield Handicap 5f James Horton GRANDLAD

Jockey HARRY DAVIES

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 13 Sep 2025 1:25 Lingfield Handicap 1m 4f Ed Dunlop ARUNDEL
• 13 Sep 2025 1:58 Lingfield Maiden 6f Ed Crisford COMIC STRIP
• 13 Sep 2025 3:13 Lingfield Handicap 1m P Chapple Hyam EVANKA

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

2:33 Lingfield ❖ 1m C5 Fillies Hcp ❖ 3yo The New Bay Pearl (7/1) will go close at a half decent price. She may just pip the Ev jolly (Tronido) ~ with the weight turnaround she has with her.

2:33 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 7/1 The New Bay Pearl (Unp 7/1)

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3:13 Lingfield ❖ 8f C6 Hcp ❖ Evanka (18/1) is upped to a mile for the first time and is overpriced judging by the way she kept on going in defeat over a furlong shorter.

3:13 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 18/1 Evanka (Unp 8/1)

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5:00 Lingfield ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Grandlad 11/1 is about a 5/1 shot to win this. The 11/1 on offer is very reasonable.

5:00 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 11/1 Grandlad (Unp 6/1)

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