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Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Wed Jul 23 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Salisbury Turf Flat▼
  • 2:15 Mashaan 16/1 (3rd 9/1)
  • 4:20 Nelson Rose 40/1 (Unp 33/1)

  • Catterick Turf Flat▼
  • 5:00 So Grateful 18/1 (Unp 33/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code ~ Tues July 22 2025

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will attempt to articulate the Wolverhampton All Weather Code Breaker for the selections I make on the shorter priced horses. The huge priced horses I back to small stakes, fall between the cracks of my usual Dunstall Park selection process, so lets focus on the main bets for the evening and the strategy involved with trying to decipher the AWR Wolver card.


Jockeys ❖ I have a few to look at for this evening at Wolverhampton. The two jockeys I'm relying on are young superstar jock Billy Loughnane and the old experienced warhorse Luke Morris


Trainers ❖ The most prolific trainers I'm focusing on with runners later are Mark Loughnane and Ian Williams, with George Boughey and Archie Watson right in behind them.


Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Wolverhampton for the 7pm(5f), 8pm(7f), 9pm(6f) sprints. The 8:30(8f) over the mile is also draw dependent. I Will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • ❖ If anything matches up all three parameters above, give it a close look on form.
  • ❖ Anything that matches up two from three, very carefully check the form also.
  • ❖ Also make sure nothing has been thrown into the race with an obvious advantage.
  • ❖ Beware any Sir Mark Prescott horses running at strange distances. My selections will be posted below.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 22 Jul 2025 7:00 Wolv Nsry 5f CALAFIORI George Boughey
  • 22 Jul 2025 8:30 Wolv Hcp 1m TOBY'S TIME Mark Loughnane
  • 22 Jul 2025 9:00 Wolv Hcp 6f BALLSGROVE BOY Martin Dunne

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 22 Jul 2025 7:00 Wolv Nsry 5f CAMPENAERTS Archie Watson
  • 22 Jul 2025 8:00 Wolv Hcp 7f BLUE EMPRESS Archie Watson
  • 22 Jul 2025 8:30 Wolv Hcp 1m INVINCIBLE STORM Ed De Giles
  • 22 Jul 2025 9:00 Wolv Hcp 6f JAKE LOVES LAURA Clare Hobson

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

7:00 Wolverhampton ❖ The 7:0 nursery is only a 5 runner. Calafiori is an odds on fav at 5/6. He'll probably win seeing as he has the best form on offer, but Campenaerts is a danger and not a bad price at 9/2 in this small field to be honest. Not for me though, I'll watch them run and move on.

# No Bet


8:00 WolverhamptonBlue Empress (7/1) is interesting from a price viewpoint.

It's a 3yo only handicap, so not a vast amount of form to go on. She does though, have some reasonable form on the book. Definitely dissapointing lately, hence the falling mark, but has the aid of headgear and Luke Morris in the saddle today, so I'm hopeful she'll not over race like she did at Brighton last time out.

At the 8/1 on offer in a winnable looking race, I'll chance it as a tentative section, because she could well be overpriced from a plum draw in trap two.

8:0 Wolv ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Blue Empress (4th 13/2) Led, headed 4f out, led 3f out, headed over 1f out, no extra towards finish, 4th.


8:30 Wolverhampton ❖ A maiden handicap where I'd like to be able to make a case for 16/1 shot Invincible Storm ridden by Luke Morris, or indeed the 25/1 shot Tobys Time for the Billy Loughnane/Mark Loughnane combination, both well drawn, but there's nothing formwise to connect with. I'll sit this one out.

# No Bet.


9:00 Wolverhampton ❖ sees Ballsgrove Boy (3/1) come here with a decent chance of victory.

He's well drawn and has Billy Loughnane on board, but makes the odd mistake from the gate and would have been a tentative selection at 6/1, but at the 3/1 on offer I'll watch to see what beats him.

# No Bet

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Wolverhampton Results - 22 July 2025. Going: standard
18:30
1. 10 Forglen 4/1
2. 8 Prince Hector 25/1
3. 6 Zooks 7/2F
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.90, 6.20, 1.60
Exacta: 102.90
CSF: 96.42
Tricast: 384.14
Trifecta: 509.70
Winning Jockey: Mr P Millman
Winning Trainer: W Stone
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/2 length
Zooks 7/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 7
19:00
1. 1 Campenaerts 7/2
2. 2 Calafiori 11/10F
Tote Win 4.50
Places 2.20, 1.10
Exacta: 8.70
CSF: 7.82
Trifecta: 23.00
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: A Watson
Distances: 3/4 length
Calafiori 11/10 F
5 ran
19:30
1. 10 Space Bear 10/3
2. 6 Jowalla 7/4F
3. 8 Lyra Lea 11/2
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.40, 1.20, 2.20
Exacta: 11.50
CSF: 9.52
Trifecta: 47.60
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: M Botti
Distances: 2 lengths, 3/4 length
Jowalla 7/4 F
11 ran
Non Runners 4
20:00
1. 1 Dandy G Boy 15/8F
2. 6 Amber Honey 6/1
3. 7 Arlecchino's Rex 13/2
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.20, 1.90, 2.40
Exacta: 15.60
CSF: 13.77
Tricast: 62.84
Trifecta: 96.90
Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winning Trainer: W Greatrex
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Dandy G Boy 15/8 F
9 ran
20:30
1. 2 Popeye Doyle 15/8F
2. 6 Toby's Time 25/1
3. 1 Retraction 3/1
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.10, 3.60, 1.50
Exacta: 56.80
CSF: 59.66
Tricast: 147.67
Trifecta: 281.00
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 3 lengths, 1/2 length
Popeye Doyle 15/8 F
10 ran
21:00
1. 8 Ballsgrove Boy 3/1
2. 4 Master Dandy 6/1
3. 9 Early Release 18/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.60, 2.10, 5.70
Exacta: 28.40
CSF: 22.18
Tricast: 299.92
Trifecta: 302.80
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Martin Dunne
Distances: 1 length, 3/4 length
Hidden Verse 5/2 F
12 ran
Non Runners 5

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Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Tues Jul 22 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Lingfield Turf Flat▼
  • 5:22 Zaltalla 28/1 (Unp 22/1)

  • Wolverhampton AW Flat▼
  • 9:00 Macs Dilemma 16/1 (Unp 33/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Mon Jul 21 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Cartmel NH Jumps▼
  • 1:42 Game Management 33/1 (PU 40/1)
  • 2:12 Ofaolains Glory 22/1 (4th 25/1)
  • 2:42 Final Edgar 20/1 (Unp 16/1)

  • Ayr Turf Flat▼
  • 3:00 Cooperation 14/1 (2nd 17/2 from 14's)
  • 3:30 Archduke Ferdinand 40/1 (Unp 20/1)
  • 4:05 Pisanello 14/1 (Unp 25/1)
  • 4:40 Steps In Time 16/1 (Unp 20/1)

  • Windsor Turf Flat▼
  • 7:40 Laura Bay 14/1 (Unp 9/1)
  • 8:40 Double Time 22/1 (Won 33/1)

  • Beverley Turf Flat▼
  • 6:50 South Shore 22/1 (2nd 20/1)
  • 7:50 Cubanista 40/1 (Unp 66/1)
  • 8:20 Invincible Shadow 14/1 (Unp 28/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Sun Jul 20 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Newton Abbot NH Jumps▼
  • 4:42 Pirates Tale 33/1 (Unp 33/1)
  • 5:17 Believe Jack 25/1 (2nd 25/1)

  • Redcar Turf Flat▼
  • 3:25 Bodygroove 22/1 (Unp 25/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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Saturday Jumps Big Price Bets (July 19 2025)

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Market Rasen Over The Jumps On Saturday


Venue: Market Rasen | Going: Π Good: Dist: 2m 5f 89y

3:12 Market Rasen: Class 1 Summer Plate

Hang In There 22/1

Likes the easier fences at Market Rasen rather than places like Cheltenham ~ which is why he goes well in these top grade races when the emphasis is not so much on jumping ~ because he's a bit scratchy at times.

Result⏵ (Unplaced 14/1 from 22's) Mid-division, pushed along 3 out, mistake 2 out and faded, 7th.

Racing Blog Watch

Stake: £1.00

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00



Related Page: UK Horse Racing Commentary ➔

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