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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Thursday Nov 20 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Thursday November 20 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's 9 race card that features 6 handicaps, one is a 2yo nursery hcp, in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Hector Crouch (𝕏) rides. He's come with what looks like a double handful to me, with 8 rides. There will be a winner or two to be had from those.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 20 Nov 2025 5:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Rod Millman MAPLEDURHAM ✅
  • 20 Nov 2025 5:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Ed Dunlop AMBER HONEY ✅
  • 20 Nov 2025 6:00 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ralph Beckett ENSOR MEWS
  • 20 Nov 2025 6:30 Southwell Handicap James Tate 6f STANLEY SPENCER ✅
  • 20 Nov 2025 7:00 Southwell Handicap Joey Ramsden 2m NEW YORK MINUTE ✅
  • 20 Nov 2025 7:30 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 5f Clive Cox SAXON PRINCE
  • 20 Nov 2025 8:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 6f Gary Moore NUNC EST BIBENDUM (Non Runner)
  • 20 Nov 2025 8:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 4f Jane Chapple-Hyam JINDRI

Southwell Betting Analysis

5:00 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Mapledurham (8/1) wasn't far away last time up.

Conclusion: The application of blinkers and the booking of Hector Crouch could well bring about the improvement needed to nick this basement handicap. Went well for a long way last time out. I think the stable learned a bit from that run and have taken the chance on the Tapeta for the first time for a reason. Backed down from 14's btw.


5:00 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Mapledurham (Unp 11/1)

5:30 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Amber Honey (8/1) has every chance.

Conclusion: Competes in these type of races well enough to warrant an interest at the price with Hector Crouch doing the steering for the first time.


7:15 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Amber Honey (Won 13/2)

6:30 Southwell ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Stanley Spencer (5/1) is a worthy fav.

Conclusion: C&D winner from a 2lb lower mark last time here, winning well by a couple of lengths. Will be right there again.


6:30 South ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Stanley Spencer (2nd 9/2f)

7:00 Southwell ❖ 2m C4 Hcp ❖ New York Minute (13/2) can defy a 12lb penalty.

Conclusion: Jogged up by 14l in a C6 over the C&D. Upped 12lb by the capper, will it stop him from taking this C4? I think not. I'd not want to give you 2/1, so I'll take the 13/2 all day long.


7:00 South ~ Win Bet: 13/2 New York Minute (Won 7/1)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Mapledurham. (Unplaced 11/1) Led, ridden 2f out, headed 1f out, weakened, 5th.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 8/1 Amber Honey. (Won 13/2) Midfield, waiting for room over 2f out, switched to near side over 1f out, led inside final 110 yds, won going away, 1st.
Returns: £7.50

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Stanley Spencer. (2nd 9/2f) Smartly away and soon switched left to race in second, briefly lost position soon over 1f out, came near side and rallied and ran on well final furlong, just failed, 2nd.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 13/2 New York Minute. (Won 7/1) Midfield, chased leaders from home turn, came near side over 2f out, ridden to press leader 1f out, led towards finish, 1st.
Returns: £7.50

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 4 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £15.00

Total: + £11.00

Southwell Results - Thursday November 20 2025. Going: Standard
16:30
1. 2 Capall Rasa 8/11F
2. 3 Aleen 11/1
Tote Win 1.73
Places ,
Exacta: 7.50
CSF: 8.79
Trifecta: 11.10
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Distances: 7 1/2 lengths
Capall Rasa 8/11 F
4 ran
17:00
1. 8 Marry The Night 10/3F
2. 7 Hashtagnotions 12/1
3. 11 R P Mcmurphy 9/2
Tote Win 4.34
Places 2.60, 2.50, 1.70
Exacta: 23.70
CSF: 46.93
Tricast: 198.29
Trifecta: 130.60
Winning Jockey: S B Kirrane
Winning Trainer: T D Easterby
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Marry The Night 10/3 F
13 ran
Non Runners 3
17:30
1. 7 Amber Honey 13/2
2. 6 Borderline Madness 9/2
3. 5 Harswell Duke 6/1
Tote Win 7.50
Places 1.90, 2.80, 2.60
Exacta: 67.00
CSF: 36.67
Tricast: 200.94
Trifecta: 238.20
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: E A L Dunlop
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Heretic 3/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 1
18:00
1. 2 Crockham Heath 17/2
2. 4 Interstate 10/1
3. 7 Magnetude 22/1
Tote Win 16.40
Places 4.70, 1.50, 2.80
Exacta: 104.20
CSF: 91.49
Trifecta: 1339.90
Winning Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck, 3/4 length
Ensor Mews 2/1 F
10 ran
18:30
1. 4 Baldomero 15/2
2. 5 Stanley Spencer 9/2F
3. 14 Papa Cocktail 13/2
Tote Win 8.60
Places 2.60, 3.30, 2.60
Exacta: 75.00
CSF: 42.52
Tricast: 248.34
Trifecta: 1742.70
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: Neck, 1 length
Stanley Spencer 9/2 F
14 ran
19:00
1. 7 New York Minute 7/1
2. 3 Imperial Sovereign 7/1
3. 4 Ribble Vibe 3/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 1.70, 3.20, 1.10
Exacta: 59.20
CSF: 53.49
Tricast: 178.74
Trifecta: 242.90
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Berkshire Sundance 15/8 F
10 ran

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 20 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday November 20 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 7 handicap races and a couple of 2yo & 3yo novice stakes. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 18yr old apprentice jockey Jack Callan | (𝕏) | ~ he has 4 rides this later.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey JACK CALLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 20 Nov 2025 3:35 Newcastle 3yo+ Maiden 1m 2f John Berry MAITH MAR OR
  • 20 Nov 2025 4:10 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Hcp 6f George Boughey AMERICAN FLIGHT
  • 20 Nov 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Adrian McGuinness ELOUISE'S PRINCE
  • 20 Nov 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 7f Mark Welford BELTANE ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

6:45 Newcastle ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Beltane (28/1) is down to a mark of 45 if you add in Callan's claim. In a straight line dash over the Newc 7f strip, Beltane could lead all the way at a silly price. Granted he hasn't won for 3 years, but his mark has dropped accordingly.

His highest ever was 83, so him going in off of 45, ie effectively 38lb lower, in a straight line mugging, would be of no surprise to me. That's handicap races in a nutshell.


6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 28/1 Beltane (Unp 50/1)

❖ Betting note: 42 available on the exchanges, which will rise to maybe 50.


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:35 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
28/1 Beltane. (Unplaced 40/1) Drifted alarmingly in the market, broke on terms with the leaders, close up, pushed along and dropped way over 2f out, 13th.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Newcastle Results - Thursday November 20 2025. Going: standard
15:35
1. 4 Sharp Move 9/4
2. 3 Military Cross 8/11F
3. 9 Maneater 4/1
Tote Win 3.60
Places 1.60, 1.02, 1.70
Exacta: 7.20
CSF: 4.56
Trifecta: 15.30
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: W J Haggas
Distances: 7 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Military Cross 8/11 F
10 ran
16:10
1. 3 American Flight 3/1
2. 2 Fanjove 6/4JF
Tote Win 4.00
Places ,
Exacta: 5.20
CSF: 7.24
Trifecta: 3.40
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: G Boughey
Distances: Short Head
Fanjove 6/4 JF
Nala's Dream 6/4 JF
3 ran
16:45
1. 6 Mr Noble 5/4F
2. 8 Hen Party 8/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.40, 1.80
Exacta: 8.40
CSF: 12.44
Trifecta: 161.30
Winning Jockey: S A Gray
Winning Trainer: K R Burke
Distances: 1 length
Mr Noble 5/4 F
7 ran
Non Runners 5
17:15
1. 6 Invincible Annice 9/4F
2. 1 Desert Champion 7/2
3. 9 Ziva's Star 33/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.20, 1.40, 6.30
Exacta: 10.70
CSF: 10.50
Tricast: 200.03
Trifecta: 142.80
Winning Jockey: Amie Waugh
Winning Trainer: Miss Tracy Waggott
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 2 1/2 lengths
Invincible Annice 9/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 5
17:45
1. 3 Dark Cloud Rising 4/1
2. 11 Monks Dream 17/2
3. 7 Lethal Nymph 10/3F
Tote Win 6.20
Places 2.60, 2.00, 1.30
Exacta: 39.60
CSF: 39.79
Tricast: 131.13
Trifecta: 183.50
Winning Jockey: Mark Winn
Winning Trainer: D O'Meara
Distances: Neck, Neck
Lethal Nymph 10/3 F
10 ran
18:15
1. 3 Kindest Nation 16/1
2. 2 Hilltop 7/2
3. 5 Brazilian Rose 11/2
Tote Win 20.30
Places 3.60, 1.50, 1.40
Exacta: 121.80
CSF: 73.66
Tricast: 362.33
Trifecta: 383.30
Winning Jockey: A Mullen
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 3/4 length, 4 lengths
Call Me Betty 9/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 7
18:45
1. 8 Concert Boy 7/1
2. 3 Military Leader 4/1
3. 11 Goldmoyne 2/1F
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.40, 1.70, 1.70
Exacta: 47.00
CSF: 35.73
Tricast: 81.07
Trifecta: 157.20
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: K Scott
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Goldmoyne 2/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 9
19:15
1. 3 Carlton And Co 14/1
2. 6 Yorkshire Glory 9/4F
3. 4 Asadjumeirah 9/2
CSF: 46.09
Tricast: 176.02
Winning Jockey: Lewis Chalkley
Winning Trainer: M & D Easterby
Distances: 3 lengths, Neck
Yorkshire Glory 9/4 F
10 ran

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 20 2025

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Thursday November 20 2025

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

We have 3 AW meetings today. Lingfield this thursday morning is an excellent 9 race card with 3 handicaps to look at, alongside two valuable class 1 listed races. The 65k 1m 5f River Eden for fillies and the 50k C1 Fluer De Lys for fillies only also.

I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is Rossa Ryan who has a 20% strike rate at Lingfield this year. He knows this quirky track inside out. He has 8 rides.

❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ Check out all of the Rossa Ryan rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 20 Nov 2025 11:10 Lingfield Handicap 1m 4f Newland & Insole CRACKALACKIN
  • 20 Nov 2025 11:40 Lingfield 2yo Novice Stakes 7f David Loughnane HAGHOH
  • 20 Nov 2025 12:10 Lingfield 2yo Maiden 7f Ralph Beckett RICHIE'S ROCKET
  • 20 Nov 2025 12:45 Lingfield 2yo Maiden 7f William Haggas BAYAANN
  • 20 Nov 2025 1:20 Lingfield Fillies Handicap 6f Jack Jones ARAMIS GREY
  • 20 Nov 2025 1:55 Lingfield C1 River Eden 1m 5f Raplh Beckett FAVORITE MEMORY
  • 20 Nov 2025 2:30 Lingfield C1 Fluer De Lys 1m Ollie Sangster SHUWARI ✅
  • 20 Nov 2025 3:40 Lingfield Handicap 5f Stuart Williams DIOMED SPIRIT ✅

Lingfield Betting Analysis

2:30 Lingfield ❖ 1m C1 Listed ❖ Shuwari (3/1) looks to be the best horse in the race and the 3/1 is a decent price on that basis all things considered.


2:30 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Shuwari (Unp 10/3)

3:40 Lingfield ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Diomed Spirit (9/1) has been dropped down to 75 for AW races by the handicapper. That mark puts him right in the mix. The 9/1 on offer is more than reasonable. It won't last long.


3:40 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Diomed Spirit (Won 8/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

11:10 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

11:40 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:10 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:45 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:20 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:55 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

14:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
3/1 Shuwari. (Unplaced 10/3) Keen in touch, pushed along over 2f out, bit short of room when ridden over 1f out, no extra and weakened inside final furlong, 9th.

15:05 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:40 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
♥ 9/1 Diomed Spirit. (Won 8/1) Mounted on course, midfield, pushed along over 1f out, every chance when ridden and headway inside final furlong, led towards finish, 1st.
Returns: £9.00

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £9.00

Total: + £7.00

Lingfield Results - Thursday November 20 2025. Going: Standard
11:10
1. 9 Crackalackin 11/2
2. 4 Party Island 6/1
3. 1 Bearaway 33/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 1.70, 2.70, 9.50
Exacta: 49.80
CSF: 40.19
Tricast: 1033.04
Trifecta: 1946.10
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: Dr R Newland & J Insole
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1 3/4 length
Age Of Time 5/4 F
11 ran
11:40
1. 1 Bami 10/3
2. 4 Galileo Charm 15/8F
3. 3 Fille Imbassee 33/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.60, 1.20, 7.90
Exacta: 10.70
CSF: 10.32
Trifecta: 155.80
Winning Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Winning Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 1/4 length
Galileo Charm 15/8 F
14 ran
12:10
1. 8 Richie's Rocket 30/100F
2. 7 One Of The Boys 9/1
3. 4 Chelio 125/1
Tote Win 1.40
Places 1.02, 1.50, 16.20
Exacta: 6.60
CSF: 4.10
Trifecta: 254.90
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: R M Beckett
Distances: 9 lengths, 2 lengths
Richie's Rocket 30/100 F
10 ran
Non Runners 6 12
12:45
1. 1 Bayaann 5/4F
2. 3 Lake Como 22/1
3. 4 Oracle Mission 10/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.20, 5.30, 3.00
Exacta: 21.40
CSF: 39.22
Trifecta: 332.80
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: W J Haggas
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Head
Bayaann 5/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 6
13:20
1. 2 Aramis Grey 6/4F
2. 5 Court Drive 15/2
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.30, 3.90
Exacta: 11.60
CSF: 13.00
Trifecta: 43.90
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: Jack Jones
Distances: Short Head
Aramis Grey 6/4 F
5 ran
13:55
1. 3 Fairy Glen 11/4JF
2. 13 Understudy 3/1
3. 10 Favorite Memory 11/4JF
Tote Win 3.75
Places 1.40, 2.40, 1.70
Exacta: 14.20
CSF: 10.54
Trifecta: 51.80
Winning Jockey: Harry Davies
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Head
Fairy Glen 11/4 JF
Favorite Memory 11/4 JF
13 ran
14:30
1. 4 Sky Safari 2/1F
2. 5 Zariela 125/1
3. 2 Queen's Reign 17/2
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.10, 16.50, 4.20
Exacta: 72.10
CSF: 338.96
Trifecta: 1373.10
Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Winning Trainer: J R Fanshawe
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 length
Sky Safari 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 9
15:05
1. 3 Penelope Valentine 7/1
2. 5 Way To Dubai 9/1
3. 2 Maid In Chelsea 15/2
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.10, 3.70, 3.50
Exacta: 81.90
CSF: 75.70
Tricast: 521.77
Trifecta: 1323.40
Winning Jockey: Harry Davies
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: Neck, 2 3/4 lengths
Vizzavona Lady 5/1 F
14 ran
15:40
1. 2 Diomed Spirit 8/1
2. 5 Solar Edge 12/1
3. 10 Money Pockets 12/1
Tote Win 9.00
Places 2.00, 3.20, 4.20
Exacta: 82.20
CSF: 101.98
Tricast: 1182.15
Trifecta: 2096.10
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: S C Williams
Distances: Neck, 1 length
Mc Loven 5/4 F
10 ran

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Bonus Terms For A Poxy 50 Quid

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Cracking The Kempton AW Code ~ Wed Nov 19 2025

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Cracking The Kempton AW Code

❖ Wednesday November 19 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton host today's AW racing this afternoon on a 9 race card. 6 races are handicaps, which includes two 2yo nurseries and amn apprentice hcp.

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to 18yr old apprentice jockey Jack Callan | (𝕏) | to find me a winner. He rides Kempton well enough and has a 22% strike rate this season with 4 wins from 18 rides. He has 7 rides today, so there may be a winner or two to be had from his mounts.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ If anything 5lb claimer Jack Callan is riding is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey JACK CALLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 19 Nov 2025 4:05 Kempton Apprentice Hcp 1m Mark Loughnane TOP OF THE CLASS ✅
  • 19 Nov 2025 4:40 Kempton 2yo Nursery Hcp 1m Charlie Johnston MOON IS UP
  • 19 Nov 2025 5:10 Kempton 2yo Maiden 1m Roger Teal ADORES
  • 19 Nov 2025 5:40 Kempton Handicap 1m George Boughey INVITED ✅
  • 19 Nov 2025 6:10 Kempton 2yo Novice Stakes 6f Chriss Grassick GRAND VISTA
  • 19 Nov 2025 6:40 Kempton 2yo Novice Stakes 6f Ed Walker EUPHONIA
  • 19 Nov 2025 7:40 Kempton Handicap 6f Roger Teale DISTANT RUMBLE

Kempton Betting Analysis

4:05 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Top Of The Class (20/1) has run well over thew C&D in an apprentice handicap for Jack Callan before, last time beaten half a length carrying a lb more. Strangely overlooked judging by the odds. Maybe I'm missing something.

No downside to a small win bet at the odds. I got 25/1 overnight on the exchanges. The 20/1 available is very backable imo.


4:05 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 20/1 Top Of The Class (Unp 18/1)

5:40 Kempton ❖ 1m C2 Handicap ❖ Invited (9/1) is in good form. This is a step up in class, but with the addition of Jack Callasn and his claim, he has a definite chance at the weights if the young jock holds that inside line from the jump and races prominently the shortest way around.


5:40 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Invited (Unp 11/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:05 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
20/1 Top Of The Class. (Unplaced 18/1) Midfield, shaken up waiting for room 2f out, switched right when not clear run over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong, 8th.

4:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:10 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
9/1 Invited. (Unplaced 11/1) Wore hood to post, took keen hold, led, shaken up 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra and weakened inside final furlong, 7th.

6:10 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:10 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:10 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Kempton Results - Wednesday November 19 2025. Going: Standard
16:05
1. 6 Uniting 9/1
2. 3 Wilhelmina 10/1
3. 10 Atmosphere 3/1
Tote Win 12.40
Places 3.00, 2.90, 1.50
Exacta: 66.80
CSF: 96.06
Tricast: 345.74
Trifecta: 508.90
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1/2 length, Nose
Threatening 5/2 F
12 ran
Non Runners 8 13
16:40
1. 1 Raging Raj 4/5F
2. 9 Suggy 5/1
3. 3 Zipwire 22/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.20, 2.00, 3.60
Exacta: 6.70
CSF: 4.93
Tricast: 64.28
Trifecta: 70.00
Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott
Winning Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Distances: Head, 2 3/4 lengths
Raging Raj 4/5 F
13 ran
17:10
1. 6 Rebel Rocker 12/1
2. 12 Guesstimate 5/1
3. 8 Three No Trumps 100/1
Tote Win 14.30
Places 4.20, 2.30, 15.30
Exacta: 111.80
CSF: 70.86
Trifecta: 4955.60
Winning Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Winning Trainer: Faye Bramley
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Marseillan 16/5 F
13 ran
Non Runners 13
17:40
1. 1 Two Tempting 6/1
2. 8 First Principle 10/3F
3. 10 Notimeforchitchat 28/1
Tote Win 7.10
Places 2.30, 1.20, 6.30
Exacta: 26.90
CSF: 26.75
Tricast: 528.41
Trifecta: 521.30
Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott
Winning Trainer: J G Portman
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/4 length
First Principle 10/3 F
9 ran
Non Runners 6
18:10
1. 1 One And Gone 6/5F
2. 3 Cool Doc Boy 4/1
3. 6 Cool Molly 15/2
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.10, 1.50, 1.50
Exacta: 7.10
CSF: 6.67
Trifecta: 35.90
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 length, 5 lengths
One And Gone 6/5 F
10 ran
18:40
1. 1 Mighty Vega 15/8
2. 5 Allegrino 33/1
3. 9 Lolabella 11/2
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.20, 4.00, 1.40
Exacta: 58.90
CSF: 52.10
Trifecta: 210.90
Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott
Winning Trainer: Lemos Souza
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/2 length
Euphonia 8/13 F
8 ran
Non Runners 3
19:10
1. 4 From The Hip 4/1
2. 7 Station Bar 4/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.40, 2.80
Exacta: 24.20
CSF: 20.88
Trifecta: 245.60
Winning Jockey: Tyler Heard
Winning Trainer: M D I Usher
Distances: Head
Credit Forgedd It 11/4 F
7 ran
19:40
1. 1 Justcallmepete 10/3F
2. 4 Hierarchy 7/1
3. 2 Cayman Tai 4/1
Tote Win 3.84
Places 1.20, 1.80, 1.70
Exacta: 15.80
CSF: 19.99
Tricast: 59.39
Trifecta: 65.50
Winning Jockey: D C Costello
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 length
Justcallmepete 10/3 F
9 ran
Non Runners 11 12
20:10
1. 4 Aeolian 16/1
2. 12 Hinchinbrooke 11/4
3. 14 Hebridean Nomad 11/1
Tote Win 17.00
Places 3.70, 1.70, 2.90
Exacta: 94.90
CSF: 62.96
Tricast: 542.67
Trifecta: 886.00
Winning Jockey: Harry Burns
Winning Trainer: W J Haggas
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Just Keep Flying 2/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 10

Labels:

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Tues Nov 18 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Tuesday November 18 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 7 handicap races and a couple of 2yo & 3yo novice stakes. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 18yr old apprentice jockey Jack Callan | (𝕏) | ~ he has 6 rides this evening.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey JACK CALLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 18 Nov 2025 3:45 Newcastle Handicap 2m Hugo Palmer ZIVANIYA ✅
  • 18 Nov 2025 4:45 Newcastle 3yo Novice Stakes 1m Charlie Johnston CLOUDS HILL
  • 18 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 7f George Boughey UNASSUMING
  • 18 Nov 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 7f George Boughey SANDITON
  • 18 Nov 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Gemma Tutty MISTER SKY BLUE ✅
  • 18 Nov 2025 7:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Kevin Ryan BLUE LAKOTA

Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:45 Newcastle ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ Zivaniya (12/1) had C&D winning form at 10lb higher than today. Ran ok last time up but weakened quickly late on.

With Jack Callan's claim and the dropping mark of 57, there is a chance he will run away with this today. All it's going to take is a return to his form of this January.


3:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Zivaniya (Unp 11/1)

6:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Mister Sky Blue (6/1) has a couple of lengths to find on his C&D run last time up. A drop of a lb, plus the addition of Jack Callan's claim, with put him right there at the finish I'd say.


6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Mister Sky Blue (2nd 7/2 from 6's)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Zivaniya. (Unplaced 18/1) Mid-division on inner, pushed along 3f out, ridden to chase leaders over 2f out, made no impression and weakened over 1f out, 11th.

4:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Mister Sky Blue. (2nd 7/2) Tracked leaders, driven over 1f out, soon switched left, led briefly final furlong, headed near finish, no extra, 2nd.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Newcastle Results - Tuesday November 18 2025. Going: standard
15:45
1. 4 Merrijig 4/1
2. 5 Educate 5/2F
3. 14 Arcimboldo 13/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.20, 1.40, 3.20
Exacta: 27.00
CSF: 15.24
Tricast: 69.02
Trifecta: 233.00
Winning Jockey: Gina Mangan
Winning Trainer: John Berry
Distances: Head, 3 1/2 lengths
Educate 5/2 F
13 ran
Non Runners 13
16:15
1. 6 Container Express 8/1
2. 1 Yorkshire Queen 4/1
Tote Win 12.90
Places 4.20, 1.90
Exacta: 43.00
CSF: 39.51
Trifecta: 269.40
Winning Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Winning Trainer: P A Kirby
Distances: Neck
The Tunguska Event 8/11 F
6 ran
16:45
1. 4 Clouds Hill 5/4F
2. 1 Forest Caper 9/4
3. 2 Monty Beau 10/3
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.02, 1.40, 1.50
Exacta: 5.00
CSF: 4.33
Trifecta: 10.90
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1 1/2 length
Clouds Hill 5/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 6 8
17:15
1. 9 Midnight Lion 20/1
2. 1 Unassuming 9/2
3. 4 King's Lynn 7/2F
Tote Win 24.00
Places 6.30, 1.70, 1.60
Exacta: 138.00
CSF: 106.44
Tricast: 412.00
Trifecta: 435.00
Winning Jockey: Lauren Young
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: Head, Neck
King's Lynn 7/2 F
11 ran
Non Runners 12
17:45
1. 4 Hot And Cold 18/1
2. 2 Brilliant Star 11/4
Tote Win 25.90
Places 6.80, 2.10
Exacta: 79.00
CSF: 65.68
Trifecta: 539.90
Winning Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Winning Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Distances: 1/2 length
Hoseki 9/4 F
7 ran
18:15
1. 5 Minshaar 13/2
2. 4 Sherlock 9/4F
3. 7 Pit Boss 11/2
Tote Win 7.50
Places 1.90, 2.50, 1.90
Exacta: 42.80
CSF: 21.82
Tricast: 91.05
Trifecta: 148.40
Winning Jockey: Ethan Tindall
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Short Head
Sherlock 9/4 F
11 ran
18:45
1. 10 Superior Council 9/2
2. 3 Mister Sky Blue 7/2
3. 6 Invincible Annice 28/1
Tote Win 7.80
Places 1.90, 2.00, 8.50
Exacta: 45.10
CSF: 20.60
Tricast: 434.81
Trifecta: 696.30
Winning Jockey: Cara Tuke
Winning Trainer: I Jardine
Distances: 1/2 length, Short Head
Vault Of Heaven 10/3 F
14 ran
19:15
1. 9 Green Valentine 66/1
2. 12 A Lady Forever 14/1
3. 1 Ramon Di Loria 12/1
Tote Win 90.90
Places 22.40, 2.30, 4.80
Exacta: 1067.80
CSF: 837.03
Tricast: 11322.10
Trifecta: 2865.20
Winning Jockey: B McHugh
Winning Trainer: A D Brown
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Korroor 11/8 F
14 ran
19:45
1. 3 Fidelius 13/2
2. 2 Alligator Alley 4/1F
3. 6 Miss Hathaway 28/1
Tote Win 9.50
Places 3.30, 2.00, 3.60
Exacta: 49.70
CSF: 34.62
Tricast: 555.67
Trifecta: 1521.20
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: R M H Cowell
Distances: 1 length, 1 length
Alligator Alley 4/1 F
12 ran

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