SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 27 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday November 27 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 6 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be Billy Loughnane (𝕏) who has a decent strike (21%) here this season. He has 6 rides.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 27 Nov 2025 4:30 Chelmsford City 2yo Fillies Maiden 7f George Boughey BLINDFOLD GAMES
  • 27 Nov 2025 5:00 Chelmsford City 2yo Fillies Maiden 7f Charlie Appleby SNOW LIGHT
  • 27 Nov 2025 7:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Michael Keady MASTER DANDY
  • 27 Nov 2025 7:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Appleby RACE TO THE STARS
  • 27 Nov 2025 8:00 Chelmsford City 3yo+ Fillies Novice Stakes 7f Ollie Sangster SAVANNAH GREY
  • 27 Nov 2025 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Charlie Fellowes MAUI BREEZE ✅

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

8:30 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C5 Hcp. ❖ Maui Breeze (4/1) has now dropped to a more reasonable mark. The booking of Loughnane and being upped in trip will prove decisive from a hold up ride. Billy tried those tactics in a C4 at Newmarket over 6f to no avail. I think it'll work today against these.

The 11/1 I see was available overnight was a crazy price. Sometimes I wonder who's working at these bookies racing rooms these days, or is it all AI produced odds? Who knows..


8:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Maui Breeze (Unp 5/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
4/1 Maui Breeze. (Unplaced 5/1) Midfield on inner, ridden along over 3f out, switched right and some headway over 1f out, never going pace to challenge, 5th.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Chelmsford Results - Thursday Nov 27 2025. Going: Standard
16:30
1. 8 Pierchic 13/2
2. 7 Paradise Walk 17/2
3. 10 So Regal 4/7F
Tote Win 7.50
Places 1.40, 2.00, 1.10
Exacta: 45.50
CSF: 60.24
Trifecta: 143.50
Winning Jockey: D C Costello
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: Nose, Neck
So Regal 4/7 F
10 ran
17:00
1. 9 Snow Light 30/100F
2. 3 Havana Flower 10/1
3. 8 Safe Harbor 20/1
Tote Win 1.30
Places 1.02, 1.90, 4.30
Exacta: 4.20
CSF: 5.10
Trifecta: 33.10
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: 4 3/4 lengths, 1 length
Snow Light 30/100 F
9 ran
17:30
1. 7 Thanh Nam 7/2F
2. 3 Uncle Nader 9/1
3. 4 Akrivos 7/1
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.30, 2.80, 2.80
Exacta: 33.00
CSF: 36.05
Tricast: 212.06
Trifecta: 210.10
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: 3/4 length, 2 lengths
Thanh Nam 7/2 F
8 ran
Non Runners 6
18:00
1. 1 An Bradan Feasa 7/4
2. 4 Saratoga Gold 15/2
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.30, 2.50
Exacta: 14.70
CSF: 14.47
Trifecta: 63.20
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: Jack Jones
Distances: 1 length
Gemmari 6/5 F
5 ran
Non Runners 6
18:30
1. 5 Gladiadora 10/3
2. 7 First Encounter 9/2
3. 3 Rogue Identity 18/5
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.60, 1.70, 1.80
Exacta: 18.80
CSF: 19.55
Tricast: 58.15
Trifecta: 111.70
Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Winning Trainer: Charlie Clover
Distances: 2 lengths, 1 length
Rusheen Boy 9/4 F
8 ran
19:00
1. 9 All Too Beautiful 13/2
2. 1 Carlton And Co 13/2
3. 12 Colorada Dancer 22/1
Tote Win 9.00
Places 2.50, 1.90, 6.70
Exacta: 57.80
CSF: 50.76
Tricast: 909.64
Trifecta: 744.80
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: R A Teal
Distances: Head, 1 length
Calafrio 1/1 F
12 ran
Non Runners 5 13
19:30
1. 3 King's Code 12/1
2. 10 Race To The Stars 11/4F
3. 7 Whitcombe Rockstar 33/1
Tote Win 13.00
Places 3.40, 1.70, 9.80
Exacta: 67.80
CSF: 44.49
Tricast: 1129.97
Trifecta: 2329.30
Winning Jockey: N Callan
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: Neck, 1 length
Race To The Stars 11/4 F
13 ran
20:00
1. 4 Savannah Grey 9/4
2. 5 Why Not Me 11/2
Tote Win 3.25
Places ,
Exacta: 15.70
CSF: 13.35
Trifecta: 24.40
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths
Eliza Bennet 6/4 F
4 ran
Non Runners 3
20:30
1. 5 Stratocracy 3/1F
2. 4 Revolutionise 10/3
3. 9 Lexington Jet 12/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.50, 1.40, 3.30
Exacta: 14.60
CSF: 13.64
Tricast: 106.24
Trifecta: 129.40
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: K Frost
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Stratocracy 3/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 3

Labels:

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 27 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday November 27 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is an 8 race twilight card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, one of them is an apprentice only handicap. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 5 rides to look into. I will also scour the 5lb claimer Jack Callan and his four rides, he's well worth his claim.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ed Walker DEL CORSO
  • 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Stella Barclay PLATOON
  • 27 Nov 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Linda Perratt POCKLEY ✅
  • 27 Nov 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Jim Goldie YAASER
  • 27 Nov 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jim Goldie ARNHEM ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 27 Nov 2025 3:28 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston KNOCKBREX ✅
  • 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Si & Ed Crisford EDDAARI
  • 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey UNASSUMING
  • 27 Nov 2025 7:15 Newcastle Apprentice Handicap 7f Charlie Johnston INVINCIBLE LOVE

Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:28 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C4 Hcp ❖ Knockbrex (10/1) if he's fit after an 8 month break, with Callan's claim, could well win this outright. The Johnstone team are always trying. I have to presume the horse is ready.

I rarely back horses running without a recent run, but sometimes a double figure price can take the eye.


3:28 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Knockbrex (Won 12/1)

5:45 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Pockley (6/1) epitomises the C6 handicap horse. His last run just has to be ignored ~ I see mention of a unclear run ~ not for me, he just did very little either way..

The one before it takes this, even with a 10lb rise. The 5/1 ~ 6/1 is reasonable with Mulrennan aboard imo. I make him about a 3/1fav personally.


5:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Pockley (Unp 6/1)

6:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Arnhem (16/1) may have been overlooked judging by the prices. He has comparable Irish form at Dundalk at this level. Went ok under Goldie's apprentice Lauren Young. I am sure Mulrennan will be a bit more aggressive early on today. He could well just trouble them all at a price if he can race a bit nearer than out the back this time.

He's worth a speculative, small stake, win only poke. 25/1 on the exchanges should be very gettable.


6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Arnhem (3rd 17/2 from 16's)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:28 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
♥ 10/1 Knockbrex. (Won 12/1) Midfield, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, pressed inside final furlong, kept on, just held on, 1st.
Returns: £13.00

4:05 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Pockley. (Unplaced 6/1) Midfield, ridden and progress over 1f out, weakened near finish. 7th.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Arnhem. (3rd 17/2 from 16's) Held up in rear, asked for effort and headway over 1f out, went 3rd final furlong, no match for front pair, 3rd.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £13.00

Total: + £10.00

15:28
1. 1 Knockbrex 12/1
2. 4 Jez Bomb 10/3
3. 9 Without Compromise 9/4F
Tote Win 13.00
Places 3.90, 1.10, 2.00
Exacta: 45.20
CSF: 53.04
Tricast: 127.14
Trifecta: 444.50
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Head, 2 1/4 lengths
Without Compromise 9/4 F
10 ran
16:05
1. 4 Loquella 9/2
2. 2 Leonetto 1/2F
Tote Win 5.50
Places ,
Exacta: 8.60
CSF: 7.54
Trifecta: 16.00
Winning Jockey: J Fanning
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths
Leonetto 1/2 F
4 ran
16:40
1. 3 Director's Cut 7/1
2. 4 Eddaari 7/4F
3. 9 Sheikhnshah 22/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 1.80, 1.10, 6.10
Exacta: 29.70
CSF: 20.33
Trifecta: 351.30
Winning Jockey: Luke Catton
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Eddaari 7/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 10
17:15
1. 13 Rainbow Nebula 9/2
2. 8 Unassuming 4/1JF
3. 14 High On Hope 12/1
Tote Win 5.80
Places 2.10, 1.80, 5.00
Exacta: 31.30
CSF: 23.23
Tricast: 209.47
Trifecta: 419.40
Winning Jockey: Billy Garritty
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: Nose, 3 lengths
Unassuming 4/1 JF
First Ambition 4/1 JF
12 ran
Non Runners 4 7
17:45
1. 7 Bibendum 85/40F
2. 10 Little Mi Mi 9/1
3. 3 Papa Don't Preach 12/1
Tote Win 3.13
Places 1.50, 3.20, 3.00
Exacta: 26.50
CSF: 23.70
Tricast: 201.04
Trifecta: 271.50
Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott
Winning Trainer: Miss J A Camacho
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1 length
Bibendum 85/40 F
11 ran
Non Runners 8
18:15
1. 4 Uniting 7/4F
2. 7 Tasever 12/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 5.40
Exacta: 18.50
CSF: 23.42
Trifecta: 99.20
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Uniting 7/4 F
7 ran
18:45
1. 11 Filly One 4/1JF
2. 9 Heavenly Heather 5/1
3. 6 Arnhem 17/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.10, 1.70, 3.40
Exacta: 28.40
CSF: 24.83
Tricast: 169.99
Trifecta: 312.70
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: G R Oldroyd
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Secret Guest 4/1 JF
Filly One 4/1 JF
11 ran
Non Runners 12
19:15
1. 9 Aisling Oscar 5/4F
2. 4 No Nay Nevermind 14/1
3. 7 Miss Raincloud 16/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.20, 4.00, 4.40
Exacta: 25.50
CSF: 23.20
Tricast: 214.00
Trifecta: 387.50
Winning Jockey: O McSweeney
Winning Trainer: A Keatley
Distances: 1 3/4 length, Head
Aisling Oscar 5/4 F
13 ran
Non Runners 2

Labels:

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Wed Nov 26 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Wednesday November 26 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a third meeting on the AW this wednesday evening at Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 7 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be Billy Loughnane (𝕏) who has a decent strike (24.5%) here this season. He has 8 rides.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 26 Nov 2025 4:10 Chelmsford City 2yo Maiden 7f TJ Kent APLACEINTHESUN
  • 26 Nov 2025 4:40 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Hcp 7f George Boughey SOVEREIGN WEALTH
  • 26 Nov 2025 5:10 Chelmsford City Fillies Handicap 7f David Evans GAIETY MUSICAL
  • 26 Nov 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f David Evans ANWEN
  • 26 Nov 2025 6:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 5f David Menuisier BELLE AMIE ✅
  • 26 Nov 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Ian Williams GIANT
  • 26 Nov 2025 7:45 Chelmsford City 3yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 2f David Simcock QUAMBY
  • 26 Nov 2025 8:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams BETTY BASSETT

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:45 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 5f C6 Hcp. ❖ Belle Amie (3/1) has been knocking on the door quite loudly. I think today's her day to break the maiden tag.


6:45 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Belle Amie (3rd 3/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:10 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:40 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:10 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
3/1 Belle Amie. (3rd 3/1) Tracked leaders, driven 2f out, went 3rd final 110yards, no match for front two, 3rd.

7:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Chelmsford Results - Wednesday Nov 26 2025. Going: Standard
16:10
1. 10 Afraj 13/2
2. 14 Something Coming 17/2
2. 6 Variety Act 9/1
Tote Win 7.50
Places 2.00, 2.40, 3.40
Exacta: 27.30
CSF: 31.89
Trifecta: 246.80
Winning Jockey: Tyler Heard
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Dead Heat, Neck
Chief Red Wing 5/4 F
13 ran
16:40
1. 2 Elan D'or 5/6F
2. 1 Sovereign Wealth 9/2
3. 4 Luminare 11/2
Tote Win 1.84
Places 1.10, 1.80, 1.80
Exacta: 6.30
CSF: 5.17
Tricast: 13.88
Trifecta: 21.00
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: S C Williams
Distances: 4 3/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Elan D'or 5/6 F
8 ran
17:10
1. 6 Stellenbosch 15/2
2. 4 Gaiety Musical 3/1JF
Tote Win 8.70
Places 4.10, 2.00
Exacta: 29.70
CSF: 30.08
Trifecta: 99.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Joe Leavy
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 1 1/4 length
Mostar Dreams 3/1 JF
Gaiety Musical 3/1 JF
7 ran
17:45
1. 1 Windsor Pass 7/4F
2. 7 Nebula Stars 5/1
3. 2 Jackson Street 9/2
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.50, 1.50, 1.60
Exacta: 13.50
CSF: 10.19
Tricast: 35.70
Trifecta: 53.90
Winning Jockey: N Callan
Winning Trainer: J Butler
Distances: 1/2 length, 3/4 length
Windsor Pass 7/4 F
10 ran
18:15
1. 5 Tam Lin 11/4
2. 2 Impulse Buy 10/1
3. 3 Mister Sandman 9/4F
Tote Win 3.90
Places 1.50, 3.00, 1.20
Exacta: 28.20
CSF: 30.56
Tricast: 72.26
Trifecta: 113.50
Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill
Winning Trainer: Alice Haynes
Distances: 1/2 length, 3 lengths
Mister Sandman 9/4 F
9 ran
18:45
1. 7 Taranjerine 22/1
2. 9 Pablo Prince 16/1
3. 11 Belle Amie 3/1
Tote Win 37.20
Places 8.80, 5.10, 1.80
Exacta: 498.50
CSF: 356.51
Tricast: 1380.06
Trifecta: 3294.40
Winning Jockey: Mr Joe Leavy
Winning Trainer: J R Boyle
Distances: 1 length, 2 lengths
Forglen 2/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 5
19:15
1. 1 Justcallmepete 9/2
2. 2 Existent 9/2
3. 3 Em Four 25/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.20, 2.30, 7.90
Exacta: 26.40
CSF: 25.44
Tricast: 472.46
Trifecta: 445.30
Winning Jockey: D C Costello
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: Short Head, 1 3/4 length
Rebel Empire 10/3 F
11 ran
Non Runners 10
19:45
1. 3 Time Loop 3/1
2. 5 Good Old Days 4/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.90, 2.20
Exacta: 14.70
CSF: 15.03
Trifecta: 50.30
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: W J Haggas
Distances: 4 1/4 lengths
Sprightly Dance 4/6 F
5 ran
Non Runners 6 7
20:15
1. 3 Love Your Work 2/1F
2. 4 Kartini 10/1
3. 8 Alfie D 3/1
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.30, 1.70, 1.70
Exacta: 22.50
CSF: 24.13
Tricast: 60.08
Trifecta: 90.20
Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill
Winning Trainer: Darryll Holland
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 3 1/2 lengths
Love Your Work 2/1 F
10 ran

Labels:

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Wed Nov 26 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Wednesday November 26 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, one of them is an apprentic only handicap. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 5 rides to look into.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 26 Nov 2025 4:00 Newcastle 2yo Maiden 5f J & S Quinn NORTH WEST GAL
  • 26 Nov 2025 4:30 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ed Walker FANCIULLA DEL WEST
  • 26 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle 3yo+ Novice Stakes 7f Lawrence Mullaney WISETON PROSPECT
  • 26 Nov 2025 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m Katie Scott COOPERATION
  • 26 Nov 2025 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Bryan Smart CASTAN ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

6:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Castan (3/1) has the form in the book to win this outright. Mulrennan will have him challenging for the money no doubt.


6:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Castan (Unp 11/4)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
3/1 Castan. (Unplaced 11/4) Slowly away, took keen hold, held up in rear, headway over 2f out, soon ridden and every chance, faded close home, 5th.

7:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Newcastle Results - Wednesday November 26 2025. Going: standard
15:00
1. 9 Krissy 40/1
2. 3 Percy Willis 11/1
3. 6 Harswell Duke 13/2
Tote Win 45.60
Places 8.10, 2.80, 2.20
Exacta: 590.60
CSF: 432.84
Tricast: 3235.21
Trifecta: 2335.30
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
King Chaos 7/2 JF
Sweet Kiss 7/2 JF
10 ran
15:30
1. 3 Mystical Maria 11/4
2. 1 Prince Achille 10/3
3. 9 Rampant 16/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.40, 1.30, 3.90
Exacta: 13.80
CSF: 12.68
Tricast: 121.81
Trifecta: 108.60
Winning Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: Nose, 1 1/4 length
Shimmering Sands 85/40 F
8 ran
Non Runners 4
16:00
1. 4 North West Gal 13/8JF
2. 2 Harlequin Bay 17/2
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.10, 5.00
Exacta: 13.60
CSF: 15.89
Trifecta: 37.30
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 1 length
North West Gal 13/8 JF
Zoustar Dreams 13/8 JF
5 ran
16:30
1. 11 Emma's Letter 10/3
2. 3 Itica 15/8F
3. 2 Inferno 6/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.20, 1.50, 2.20
Exacta: 13.50
CSF: 10.15
Trifecta: 38.80
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: E A L Dunlop
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 3/4 length
Itica 15/8 F
10 ran
Non Runners 7
17:00
1. 6 Pinatubo's Legacy 5/1
2. 9 Glamorous Angela 12/1
3. 8 All Moonshine 11/1
Tote Win 7.00
Places 1.80, 2.00, 2.70
Exacta: 64.80
CSF: 61.74
Trifecta: 399.30
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: T Kent
Distances: Nose, 3 1/4 lengths
Echalar 11/10 F
10 ran
17:30
1. 6 Priapos 8/1
2. 10 Little Ted 13/2
3. 5 Volenti 3/1F
Tote Win 10.80
Places 3.60, 3.10, 1.30
Exacta: 63.70
CSF: 60.62
Tricast: 198.15
Trifecta: 372.60
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: Phillip Makin
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 4 3/4 lengths
Volenti 3/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 2
18:00
1. 8 Teardrops 2/1F
2. 5 Uncle Sam 9/2
3. 1 Ardaddy 9/4
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.10, 1.70, 1.40
Exacta: 10.30
CSF: 11.98
Tricast: 21.16
Trifecta: 38.40
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: R Spencer
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths, Neck
Teardrops 2/1 F
8 ran
18:30
1. 8 King's Crown 5/1
2. 4 Binadham 11/2
Tote Win 6.00
Places 3.20, 2.70
Exacta: 25.70
CSF: 32.36
Tricast: 72.05
Trifecta: 85.30
Winning Jockey: S B Kirrane
Winning Trainer: M Dods
Distances: 3/4 length
Tiriac 2/1 F
7 ran
Non Runners 1 3 9 11
19:00
1. 2 Spun To Gold 6/5F
2. 9 Spartan Fighter 22/1
3. 1 Em Jay Kay 8/1
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.20, 3.80, 1.80
Exacta: 43.80
CSF: 35.67
Tricast: 160.15
Trifecta: 171.90
Winning Jockey: Lauren Young
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: Nose, 2 3/4 lengths
Spun To Gold 6/5 F
9 ran

Labels:

Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Wed Nov 26 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Wednesday November 26 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's 9 race card that features six handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Hector Crouch (𝕏) rides. He has 6 rides booked. There will likely be a winner or two to be had from those.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 26 Nov 2025 12:00 Southwell 2yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m Ralph Beckett LISA JOY
  • 26 Nov 2025 12:30 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 7f Edward Bethell ROGUE INVINCIBLE
  • 26 Nov 2025 1:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Ismael Mohammed MUST BELIEVE ✅
  • 26 Nov 2025 2:03 Southwell Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop AMBER HONEY
  • 26 Nov 2025 2:33 Southwell Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop MOONLIGHT BOMB
  • 26 Nov 2025 3:35 Southwell Handicap 6f Ralph Beckett BOLO NEIGHS

Southwell Betting Analysis

1:30 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Must Believe (9/2) is running well at present.

Conclusion: Will definitely be fighting for the win at the end. In form and has Hector Crouch for company, who's also going great guns lately.


1:30 South ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Must Believe (Won 11/2)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

11:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

12:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

12:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 9/2 Must Believe. (Won 11/2) Prominent, ridden to lead over 2f out, kept over 1f out, diminishing advantage near finish but always holding on, 1st.
Returns: £6.50

14:03 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

14:33 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:05 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: £6.50

Total: + £5.50

Southwell Results - Wednesday November 26 2025. Going: Standard
11:30
1. 1 Young Endless 3/1F
2. 7 Billy Bathgate 8/1
3. 8 Zooks 10/1
Tote Win 5.30
Places 1.90, 2.10, 3.30
Exacta: 33.00
CSF: 29.14
Tricast: 225.72
Trifecta: 202.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Lewis Kent
Winning Trainer: K Frost
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 3 1/4 lengths
Young Endless 3/1 F
12 ran
Non Runners 13
12:00
1. 8 K Sarra 16/5
2. 9 Lisa Joy 7/1
3. 11 Royal Poetry 15/2
Tote Win 4.80
Places 1.80, 2.20, 2.30
Exacta: 32.90
CSF: 26.31
Trifecta: 261.20
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: R M Beckett
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Loving Queen 15/8 F
14 ran
12:30
1. 8 Organise 11/10F
2. 12 The Stone Power 5/2
3. 4 Breathe Easy 25/1
Tote Win 2.10
Places 1.10, 1.90, 4.00
Exacta: 4.80
CSF: 4.27
Trifecta: 52.80
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 7 lengths, 1/2 length
Organise 11/10 F
14 ran
13:00
1. 1 Ten Carat Harry 1/1F
2. 3 Eternal Solace 6/1
Tote Win 2.00
Places 1.30, 2.20
Exacta: 6.70
CSF: 7.77
Trifecta: 15.70
Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winning Trainer: J A Osborne
Distances: Neck
Ten Carat Harry 1/1 F
6 ran
13:30
1. 5 Must Believe 11/2
2. 7 Westcombe 6/4F
3. 4 Life Is Rosie 14/1
Tote Win 7.70
Places 2.20, 1.10, 3.50
Exacta: 19.50
CSF: 14.16
Tricast: 115.80
Trifecta: 133.60
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: I Mohammed
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Westcombe 6/4 F
11 ran
14:03
1. 3 Onemorenomore 6/1
2. 2 Portoro 7/2
3. 1 Amber Honey 3/1F
Tote Win 10.30
Places 2.80, 1.90, 1.70
Exacta: 44.60
CSF: 28.33
Tricast: 79.28
Trifecta: 141.30
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: P J McBride
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
Amber Honey 3/1 F
11 ran
14:33
1. 11 Cable Beach 7/1
2. 7 Bullington Bry 9/1
3. 9 Bad Habits 18/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.00, 3.40, 3.70
Exacta: 78.70
CSF: 71.42
Tricast: 1131.30
Trifecta: 317.70
Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winning Trainer: T P Tate
Distances: Head, Neck
Moonlight Bomb 11/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1
15:05
1. 6 Dyrholaey 10/3
2. 4 Prince Of Pillo 3/1F
Tote Win 4.34
Places 2.40, 2.80
Exacta: 14.40
CSF: 13.93
Trifecta: 41.60
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: A Watson
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths
Prince Of Pillo 3/1 F
7 ran
15:35
1. 11 Betsen 40/1
2. 1 Berkshire Whisper 6/1
3. 9 Spangled Mac 13/2
Tote Win 46.80
Places 8.40, 1.60, 1.90
Exacta: 235.80
CSF: 269.24
Tricast: 1804.00
Trifecta: 1423.90
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: Neck, Head
We Never Stop 2/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 7 8

Labels:

Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code ~ Tues Nov 25 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code

❖ Tuesday November 25 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This monday's we have a bumper sized evening 9 race card on show. The meet features 7 handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey with a 27% win rate here this season, Hector Crouch 𝕏 is the one I'm going to mainly focus on re his five rides. Also, Billy Loughnane 𝕏 is worth staying on the right side of nowadays ~ he has seven rides.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ Give all Hector Crouch and Billy Loughnane rides an uber close up look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 25 Nov 2025 5:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Clive Cox CONSCRIPT ✅
  • 25 Nov 2025 6:00 Wolverhampton 2yo Nursery Hcp 7f Jennie Candlish WOODY Y FERNANDEZ
  • 25 Nov 2025 6:30 Wolverhampton 2yo Maiden Fillies 6f Ralph Beckett ZOOELLA
  • 25 Nov 2025 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Jack Jones WOODHAY WHISPER
  • 25 Nov 2025 8:00 Wolverhampton 3yo+ Novice Stakes 5f Clive Cox WHOLEHEARTED

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 25 Nov 2025 5:00 Wolverhampton Selling Handicap 1m Ian Williams TRIBAL WISDOM
  • 25 Nov 2025 5:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Richard Hannon AL ARBEED
  • 25 Nov 2025 6:30 Wolverhampton 2yo Maiden Fillies 6f Jane Chapple-Hyam STAR OF COMMALA
  • 25 Nov 2025 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Phil McEntee ALAFDHAL
  • 25 Nov 2025 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Ian Williams CALL GLORY
  • 25 Nov 2025 8:00 Wolverhampton 3yo+ Novice Stakes 5f Pat Morris PEREGRINE FALCON
  • 25 Nov 2025 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Mark Loughnane PERCY JONES ✅

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C2 Hcp ❖ Conscript 13/2 style of his last two victories must put him level with these two talking horses in the race. First time in a handicap he may be in lightly, even though it's a C2 and he's rated at 92. The first time rating of 92 shows he's not rated as a mug for sure anyway.

The 13/2 and his nice win on the Kempton AW latest, makes him worth an interest. It's only a 7 runner field. I would make him nearer a 3/1 shot, just behind the jolly Sarab Star, who looks a bit short to me at 13/8.


5:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Conscript (Unp 8/1)

8:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m 4f C5 Hcp ❖ Percy Jones 9/2 is just about backable from stall seven seeing as he's making a quick return to the C&D with a 1lb less for a 3l beating. He was drawn right out in the car park in 11 that day.

I think he'll get alot closer to the action today from the midfield, rather than held up at the back, and therefore be a real threat in this class 5, rather than the slightly tougher class 4 he ran in last time out.

He's a tentative selection, but is a reasonable bet at the prices, because I don't see that he has much to beat in this field.


8:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Percy Jones (Unp 5/1)

Wolverhampton Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
13/2 Conscript. (Unplaced 8/1) Took keen hold, midfield, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened, 6th.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
9/2 Percy Jones. (Unplaced 5/1) Prominent, ridden over 2f out, faded inside final furlong, 8th.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Wolverhampton Results - Tuesday November 25 2025. Going: standard
16:30
1. 6 Dingwall 15/8F
2. 5 Francesi 11/2
3. 12 Aisling Oscar 14/1
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.10, 1.60, 6.70
Exacta: 16.70
CSF: 12.74
Tricast: 126.48
Trifecta: 351.10
Winning Jockey: Miss Hannah Crawford
Winning Trainer: I Jardine
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1/2 length
Dingwall 15/8 F
13 ran
17:00
1. 4 Tribal Wisdom 10/3
2. 6 Hitched 7/1
3. 10 Boubyan 33/1
Tote Win 4.40
Places 1.40, 2.60, 6.20
Exacta: 28.60
CSF: 27.04
Tricast: 663.95
Trifecta: 376.50
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Epictetus 3/1 F
10 ran
17:30
1. 7 Sarab Star 4/5F
2. 2 Serengeti 28/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.20, 5.30
Exacta: 29.10
CSF: 28.51
Tricast: 223.74
Trifecta: 148.90
Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winning Trainer: J Channon
Distances: 3/4 length
Sarab Star 4/5 F
7 ran
Non Runners 4 9
18:00
1. 10 Crown The Future 10/11F
2. 11 Forceful Lady 16/1
3. 1 Molly Mac 13/2
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.20, 2.70, 1.50
Exacta: 23.00
CSF: 19.24
Tricast: 69.75
Trifecta: 86.10
Winning Jockey: N Callan
Winning Trainer: Jack Morland
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 5 lengths
Crown The Future 10/11 F
9 ran
Non Runners 3 7 8
18:30
1. 1 Angel Love 4/5F
2. 5 Ritaal 17/2
3. 9 Zooella 4/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.02, 2.30, 2.10
Exacta: 12.00
CSF: 9.07
Trifecta: 33.20
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 4 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Angel Love 4/5 F
9 ran
19:00
1. 9 Midnight Call 18/1
2. 1 Alafdhal 7/4F
3. 5 Havana Club 17/2
Tote Win 27.10
Places 5.40, 1.30, 2.10
Exacta: 71.00
CSF: 52.66
Tricast: 321.42
Trifecta: 1027.50
Winning Jockey: Mr Matthew Slater
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: Neck, Neck
Alafdhal 7/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 7
19:30
1. 2 Woodhay Whisper 9/4F
2. 7 The Cola Kid 12/1
3. 5 Mintana 16/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.30, 2.60, 4.10
Exacta: 36.60
CSF: 32.25
Tricast: 378.10
Trifecta: 322.70
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: Jack Jones
Distances: Neck, 2 lengths
Woodhay Whisper 9/4 F
13 ran
20:00
1. 2 Night Storm 10/11F
2. 1 Leading Times 11/8
3. 7 Peregrine Falcon 18/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.10, 1.10, 1.60
Exacta: 2.80
CSF: 2.52
Trifecta: 10.00
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 2 lengths, 2 lengths
Night Storm 10/11 F
8 ran
Non Runners 5
20:30
1. 4 I'd Go Maniac 11/1
2. 5 Lightning Touch 15/2
3. 8 Moon Sniper 5/1
Tote Win 13.00
Places 3.30, 1.60, 3.20
Exacta: 72.90
CSF: 92.09
Tricast: 470.67
Trifecta: 595.20
Winning Jockey: Luke Catton
Winning Trainer: A King
Distances: Nose, Nose
Brodie's Boy 3/1 F
9 ran

Labels:

Clicky