SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Chelmsford Bets - Tues July 1 2025 (evening meeting)

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8:30 Sax Appeal (25/1) looks overpriced to me. I think he has every chance of pulling off a surprise looking at his run 2 races back.

Callum Shepherd takes the ride. He's knows his way around Chelmsford well enough. I think the pairing have a reasonable chance of upsetting the odds.

Π Going: Polytrack - Standard.

6:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack) (100k C1 Listed Queen Charlotte Fillies Stakes)
# No Bet.

8:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
25/1 Sax Appeal. (4th 22/1) Mid-division, pushed along in 4th over 2f out, ridden out wide over 1f out, plugged on final furlong, 4th.

9:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Chelmsford City Results - 1 July 2025. Going: standard / slow
18:00
1. 8 Deep Water Bay 15/8F
2. 7 Belgravian 2/1
3. 6 Typhoon Dancer 11/2
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.10, 1.20, 1.80
Exacta: 7.10
CSF: 6.02
Tricast: 16.02
Trifecta: 24.30
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Distances: 2 lengths, 2 1/4 lengths
Deep Water Bay 15/8 F
8 ran
18:30
1. 4 Tan Rapido 9/2
2. 3 The Thames Boatman 4/1
Tote Win 5.60
Places 2.80, 2.40
Exacta: 25.20
CSF: 23.05
Trifecta: 77.10
Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Winning Trainer: C Fellowes
Distances: 3/4 length
Monsieur Beaulieu 3/1 F
7 ran
19:00
1. 2 Fantasy Obsessor 8/1
2. 5 Elizabeth Bay 7/2
3. 1 Pixie Diva 4/6F
Tote Win 9.60
Places 1.90, 1.30, 1.10
Exacta: 40.50
CSF: 37.43
Trifecta: 84.80
Winning Jockey: Raymond Dawson
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: 1/2 length, 2 1/4 lengths
Pixie Diva 4/6 F
8 ran
Non Runners 7 9
19:30
1. 3 Finbar's Lad 4/1F
2. 12 Stella Hogan 9/2
3. 1 G'daay 9/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.70, 1.80, 3.30
Exacta: 18.70
CSF: 22.58
Tricast: 157.55
Trifecta: 124.20
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Neck
Finbar's Lad 4/1 F
11 ran
Non Runners 10
20:00
1. 3 Cloud Cover 9/2
2. 4 Fair Point 6/1
3. 8 Stop The Cavalry 13/2
Tote Win 5.60
Places 1.30, 2.20, 2.30
Exacta: 36.20
CSF: 31.17
Trifecta: 169.40
Winning Jockey: Clifford Lee
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 2 lengths, Neck
Jabaara 6/5 F
10 ran
Non Runners 6
20:30
1. 1 Mr Hampstead 8/1
2. 6 Blindedbythelights 5/2F
3. 5 Trouville 7/2
Tote Win 9.50
Places 2.40, 1.20, 2.00
Exacta: 39.20
CSF: 30.10
Tricast: 87.54
Trifecta: 135.50
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: Raphael Freire
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 1 3/4 length
Blindedbythelights 5/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 7 9 12
21:00
1. 5 Fox Avatar 3/1
2. 6 Tribal Wisdom 11/1
3. 7 Bearaway 10/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.40, 2.50, 2.60
Exacta: 34.10
CSF: 36.51
Tricast: 297.20
Trifecta: 194.70
Winning Jockey: S De Sousa
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Head
Bamburgh 13/8 F
8 ran

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Tues July 1 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses

❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses

    Musselburgh Turf Flat▼
  • 2:30 Dwindling Funds 40/1 (4th 40/1)
  • 3:30 Northfield Lake 20/1 (4th 16/1)
    • Brighton Turf Flat▼
  • 2:40 Umming N Ahing 20/1 (Unp 28/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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Wolverhampton Bets - Mon June 30 2025 (evening meeting)

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7:30 Bosh (8/1) is going to prove highly dangerous to this grade 4 hcp field from trap four. This represents a drop in class and I think he'll take advantage.

Daniel Muscutt takes the ride, a solid Wolverhampton jockey. He'll be right there at the death at reasonable odds.

8:00 Sevensees (25/1) is a 6f horse going back up to 6f after running in a 5f.

I figure Luke Morris will roust him along early to hold that inside position from the one box. If he does, he'll steal a breather around the bend. From there, he may well be able to battle it out ~ and ultimately outbattle the field ~ all the way to the finish line at huge odds.

8:30 Notre Maison (7/1) will prove hard to beat from an inside draw in two with the highly experienced and course expert Luke Morris aboard.

She is currently priced up at 7/1. I wouldn't want to give you 4/1. I make the pairing just about favourite, with the presence of Morris being the deciding factor. Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Bosh. (4th 6/1) Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and plugged on in 3rd, no chance with winner, weakened and lost 3rd towards finish, 4th.

8:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
25/1 Sevensees. (Unplaced 40/1) Raced on inside, never closer than mid-division, 8th.

8:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
7/1 Notre Maison. (Unplaced 3/1f from 7's) Chased winner, pushed along out wide and lost 2nd turning in, chased leaders, ridden and weakened towards finish, 5th.

9:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles = £3.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £3.00

Wolverhampton Results - 30 June 2025. Going: standard / slow
18:00
1. 9 Little Jaybee 28/1
2. 3 Rose Of Spain 4/11F
3. 10 Star Marian 15/2
Tote Win 33.90
Places 4.90, 1.10, 1.40
Exacta: 71.50
CSF: 40.92
Trifecta: 278.20
Winning Jockey: Alexander Voikhansky
Winning Trainer: T Ward
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Rose Of Spain 4/11 F
9 ran
Non Runners 4 11
18:30
1. 6 Time To Turn 1/10F
2. 2 Kiss For An Angel 28/1
3. 1 Booziebrunch 40/1
Tote Win 1.10
Places 1.02, 4.80, 3.90
Exacta: 11.40
CSF: 14.45
Trifecta: 90.20
Winning Jockey: William Buick
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: 10 lengths, Head
Time To Turn 1/10 F
9 ran
19:00
1. 9 Lady Modena 6/1
2. 5 Pickering Castle 10/11F
3. 3 Ottawa 7/2
Tote Win 7.00
Places 2.20, 1.10, 1.30
Exacta: 15.60
CSF: 11.94
Trifecta: 54.40
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: Tom Clover
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 4 3/4 lengths
Pickering Castle 10/11 F
9 ran
19:30
1. 4 Crestofdistinction 10/11F
2. 2 Stanley Spencer 7/1
3. 3 Scarboroughwarning 5/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.10, 1.80, 1.80
Exacta: 9.90
CSF: 8.11
Tricast: 24.19
Trifecta: 32.20
Winning Jockey: George Bass
Winning Trainer: J Channon
Distances: 5 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Crestofdistinction 10/11 F
10 ran
Non Runners 8
20:00
1. 1 Abbey Heights 5/1
2. 4 Don Pacifico 3/1
3. 5 Jesse Luc 14/1
Tote Win 6.00
Places 2.10, 1.20, 2.90
Exacta: 20.90
CSF: 20.76
Tricast: 197.50
Trifecta: 128.70
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: D & C Kubler
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 1/2 length
Hello Zaman 15/8 F
8 ran
Non Runners 7 8
20:30
1. 8 Colors Of Freedom 18/1
2. 5 Henery Hawk 15/2
3. 9 Global Effort 9/2
Tote Win 19.00
Places 4.50, 1.90, 1.90
Exacta: 172.50
CSF: 146.21
Tricast: 724.71
Trifecta: 927.20
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: Joe Ponting
Distances: 1/2 length, Short Head
Notre Maison 3/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 1 6
21:00
1. 2 Fazen 12/1
2. 1 This Time Maybe 5/2
3. 5 Trusty Scout 11/2
Tote Win 13.10
Places 3.40, 1.20, 1.50
Exacta: 45.80
CSF: 43.01
Tricast: 192.48
Trifecta: 159.20
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: J Butler
Distances: Head, 3/4 length
Advertorial 6/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 4

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Sun June 29)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses

❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses

    Ffos Las Turf Flat▼
  • 4:40 Makes Sense 40/1 (Unp 40/1)
    • Uttoxeter NH Jumps▼
  • 3:40 Land Afar 50/1 (PU 80/1)
    • Cartmel NH Jumps▼
  • 2:40 Desert Cave 33/1 (PU 50/1)
  • 3:50 Horn Cape 28/1 (PU 18/1)
  • 5:05 Ali Star Bert 20/1 (2nd 20/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

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All Weather TV Races - Newcastle June 28 2025

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All Weather racing takes centre stage today, with the Northumberland Plate, 20 runner handicap.

There are 4 other races on ITV from the Newcastle all weather track, alongside 3 from Chester and the Pretty Polly at the Curragh.

A big day of racing. I am on 10/1 shot Zanndabad in the Northumberland. Good luck out there whoever you're on, cheers, Sandracer.

    Newcastle On The Tele (ITV1)
  • 1.40▸ 6f Handicap
  • 2.10▸ 6f Newcastle Open Chipchase Stakes (Group 3)
  • 2.40▸ 2m Northumberland Vase (Handicap)
  • 3.15▸ 2m Northumberland Plate (Handicap)
  • 3.45▸ 7f Handicap
Newcastle Results - 28 June 2025. Going: standard
13:40
1. 6 Fivethousandtoone 25/1
2. 9 Pocklington 5/2
3. 4 He's A Monster 50/1
Tote Win 29.70
Places 5.10, 1.50, 9.40
Exacta: 138.50
CSF: 85.48
Tricast: 3334.06
Trifecta: 5266.60
Winning Jockey: D Allan
Winning Trainer: T D Easterby
Distances: Short Head, Short Head
Aramram 9/4 F
13 ran
Non Runners 12
14:10
1. 6 Diligent Harry 16/1
2. 4 Annaf 8/1
3. 7 Ferrous 9/4
Tote Win 17.00
Places 3.30, 2.10, 1.30
Exacta: 111.50
CSF: 137.85
Tricast: 405.79
Trifecta: 362.30
Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winning Trainer: C G Cox
Distances: Neck, 2 1/4 lengths
Kind Of Blue 85/40 F
9 ran
14:40
1. 15 Savrola 10/1
2. 9 Tryfan 5/1
3. 4 Sheradann 12/1
4. 7 Midnight Lion 40/1
Tote Win 11.00
Places 2.60, 2.00, 2.90, 7.20
Exacta: 77.40
CSF: 61.01
Tricast: 643.14
Trifecta: 794.10
Winning Jockey: Connor Beasley
Winning Trainer: Mrs Dianne Sayer
Distances: 1 length, Neck, Short Head
Contacto 7/2 F
19 ran
Non Runners 20
15:15
1. 17 Spirit Mixer 25/1
2. 18 Dancing In Paris 11/1
3. 12 Charging Thunder 22/1
4. 20 Tribal Star 11/1
Tote Win 33.40
Places 5.40, 3.10, 5.60, 3.20
Exacta: 279.90
CSF: 285.67
Tricast: 6110.82
Trifecta: 9245.20
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck, 3 lengths, 1/2 length
East India Dock 7/2 F
20 ran
15:45
1. 8 Native Warrior 5/1
2. 6 Dosman 7/1
3. 7 Talis Evolvere 8/1
Tote Win 6.20
Places 2.20, 2.90, 3.40
Exacta: 53.40
CSF: 40.20
Tricast: 294.43
Trifecta: 374.10
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: K R Burke
Distances: 3/4 length, Neck
Eldrickjones 4/1 JF
Rare Change 4/1 JF
13 ran
16:25
1. 3 Sands Of Spain 15/8F
2. 5 Golden Brown 6/1
3. 8 Victor Cee 22/1
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.10, 1.70, 4.50
Exacta: 11.10
CSF: 13.97
Trifecta: 81.40
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck, 1/2 length
Sands Of Spain 15/8 F
8 ran
Non Runners 9
17:00
1. 2 Pralognan 7/4F
2. 11 Young Lucy 9/2
3. 9 Cascade Hall 25/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.30, 2.10, 6.90
Exacta: 11.00
CSF: 9.39
Tricast: 152.45
Trifecta: 172.60
Winning Jockey: Jim Crowley
Winning Trainer: A J Martin
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Pralognan 7/4 F
11 ran
Non Runners 8
17:30
1. 1 L'Eagle Aid 4/1
2. 3 Damascus Steel 9/1
3. 5 Freddy Robinson 25/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.80, 3.10, 4.50
Exacta: 38.80
CSF: 40.99
Tricast: 816.80
Trifecta: 701.80
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Neck, 5 lengths
Spiced Rum 11/4 F
11 ran

Northumberland Plate 2025

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Northumberland Plate Handicap 2025

3:15 Newcastle | Heritage Handicap (Class 2)

20 Runners | Distance▸ 2m 56y | Surface▸ AllWeather

£150,000 added | Winner▸ £81,000 | 2nd▸ £38,025 | 3rd▸ £19,020 | 4th▸ £9,510

1 (7) Onesmoothoperator (USA)

119 | C | CD | Form▸ 105-735

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 9-12 | Official Rating▸ 105

Trainer▸ B Ellison | Jockey▸ Connor Beasley

2 (10) Roaring Legend (FR)

51 | t | D | CD | Form▸ 1/11166

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-10 | Official Rating▸ 103

Trainer▸ H Palmer | Jockey▸ David Probert

3 (18) Lavender Hill Mob

11 | p | D | Form▸ 47-5410

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 98

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Mason Paetel

4 (14) East India Dock

11 | D | Form▸ 4314-16

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-4 | Official Rating▸ 97

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ James Doyle

5 (1) Pappano

106 | Form▸ 658513-

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ W P Mullins | Jockey▸ J P Spencer

6 (5) Imperial Sovereign (IRE)

28 | C | Form▸ 66945-8

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ P A Kirby | Jockey▸ Saffie Osborne

7 (2) Faylaq

7 | Form▸ 711653

Age▸ 9 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ J S Goldie | Jockey▸ P Mulrennan

8 (20) Manxman (IRE)

11 | v | D | Form▸ 312-210

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95

Trainer▸ S & E Crisford | Jockey▸ Daniel Muscutt

9 (12) Duke Of Oxford

50 | t | D | Form▸ 311-430

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95

Trainer▸ M L W Bell | Jockey▸ Taryn Langley

10 (19) Who's Glen (FR)

50 | Form▸ 4215-25

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93

Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ P J McDonald

11 (15) Zanndabad (IRE)

24 | t | Form▸ 07/366-7

Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93

Trainer▸ A J Martin | Jockey▸ Jim Crowley

12 (4) Charging Thunder

50 | p | D | Form▸ 31-1250

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Harry Davies

13 (8) Intinso

70 | C | Form▸ 003-400

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ Craig Lidster | Jockey▸ S H James

14 (13) Asgard's Captain (IRE)

21 | C | Form▸ 426014

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ Dylan Cunha | Jockey▸ S M Levey

15 (11) Golden Rules

91 | D | Form▸ 24412/4

Age▸ 8 | Weight▸ 8-11 | Official Rating▸ 90

Trainer▸ T Faulkner | Jockey▸ S De Sousa

16 (17) Shajak (IRE)

158 | D | Form▸ 30643/0-

Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ L Morris

17 (9) Spirit Mixer

20 | D | Form▸ 110-572

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ Rob Hornby

18 (3) Dancing In Paris (FR)

35 | Form▸ 8313-43

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ Ian Williams | Jockey▸ Marco Ghiani

19 (16) Alrazeen (IRE)

91 | D | Form▸ 711-167

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88

Trainer▸ Miss Gay Kelleway | Jockey▸ Warren Fentiman

20 (6) Tribal Star (IRE)

24 | p | Form▸ 312-229

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88

Trainer▸ A McGuinness | Jockey▸ Jamie Powell

Betting Odds (Lowest to Highest)

East India Dock▸ 6/1
Who's Glen▸ 7/1
Pappano▸ 15/2
Tribal Star▸ 15/2
Onesmoothoperator▸ 9/1
Golden Rules▸ 9/1
Duke Of Oxford▸ 10/1
Zanndabad▸ 10/1
Dancing In Paris▸ 14/1
Roaring Legend▸ 18/1
Manxman▸ 20/1
Spirit Mixer▸ 20/1
Faylaq▸ 25/1
Asgard's Captain▸ 25/1
Imperial Sovereign▸ 40/1
Charging Thunder▸ 40/1
Shajak▸ 40/1
Lavender Hill Mob▸ 50/1
Alrazeen▸ 50/1
Intinso▸ 66/1
Stay Up To Date With The Latest Northumberland Plate Odds

Northumberland Plate 2025 Analysis

The Northumberland Plate, running tomorrow at 3:15, live on ITV, at Newcastle Racecourse, is a well known 2-mile handicap race on under the all-weather code, attracting 20 experienced stayers. Given the complexity of factors like form and draw bias ~ my analysis points to Zanndabad as a likely winner.

Race Overview

  • Distance▸ 2 miles and 56 yards
  • Surface▸ All-weather (Tapeta)
  • Field▸ 20 runners
  • Prize▸ £150,000

Historical Trends and Draw Bias

Since moving to the all-weather surface in 2016, higher draws have generally performed better, with data showing 13 of the top 5 finishers in early all-weather editions (2016-2018) came from high stalls.

Key Contenders

Horse Draw Odds Recent Form Expert Mentions
Zanndabad 15 10/1 3rd in Chester Cup last year, 7th at Curragh recently Oddschecker 1st, Weekend Winners pick
Who's Glen 19 7/1 5th in Chester Cup, strong staying potential Timeform 1st
East India Dock 14 6/1 Won Chester Cup, 6th at Ascot Stakes -
Pappano 1 15/2 Recent AW win, pulled up in Triumph Hurdle Timeform 2nd
Tribal Star 6 15/2 Strong AW Hcp form recently Racing Post 1st
Onesmoothoperator 7 9/1 Last year's winner, recent 5th at Meydan Oddschecker 2nd
Golden Rules 11 9/1 2nd in this race last year, 4th at Kempton Timeform 3rd

Expert Predictions

  • Oddschecker▸ Zanndabad (1st), Onesmoothoperator (2nd), Dancing In Paris (3rd)
  • Timeform▸ Who's Glen (1st), Pappano (2nd), Golden Rules (3rd)
  • Weekend Winners Team▸ Zanndabad strongly recommended due to high draw advantage

Additional Factors

  • Jim Crowley has a 100% strike rate for Zanndabad's trainer Tony Martin
  • Higher draws generally favoured on all-weather at Newcastle
  • Recent form and age trends favour Zanndabad and Who's Glen

Final Recommendation ~ Zanndabad 10/1 ~ Win Only

Given the combination of form and draw advantage my selection to win the 2025 Northumberland Plate has to be Zanndabad. However, this remains a wide-open race, with Who's Glen and East India Dock also representing strong challenges.