Northumberland Plate 2025
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Northumberland Plate Handicap 2025
3:15 Newcastle | Heritage Handicap (Class 2)
20 Runners | Distance▸ 2m 56y | Surface▸ AllWeather
£150,000 added | Winner▸ £81,000 | 2nd▸ £38,025 | 3rd▸ £19,020 | 4th▸ £9,510
1 (7) Onesmoothoperator (USA)
119 | C | CD | Form▸ 105-735
Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 9-12 | Official Rating▸ 105
Trainer▸ B Ellison | Jockey▸ Connor Beasley
2 (10) Roaring Legend (FR)
51 | t | D | CD | Form▸ 1/11166
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-10 | Official Rating▸ 103
Trainer▸ H Palmer | Jockey▸ David Probert
3 (18) Lavender Hill Mob
11 | p | D | Form▸ 47-5410
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 98
Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Mason Paetel
4 (14) East India Dock
11 | D | Form▸ 4314-16
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-4 | Official Rating▸ 97
Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ James Doyle
5 (1) Pappano
106 | Form▸ 658513-
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96
Trainer▸ W P Mullins | Jockey▸ J P Spencer
6 (5) Imperial Sovereign (IRE)
28 | C | Form▸ 66945-8
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96
Trainer▸ P A Kirby | Jockey▸ Saffie Osborne
7 (2) Faylaq
7 | Form▸ 711653
Age▸ 9 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96
Trainer▸ J S Goldie | Jockey▸ P Mulrennan
8 (20) Manxman (IRE)
11 | v | D | Form▸ 312-210
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95
Trainer▸ S & E Crisford | Jockey▸ Daniel Muscutt
9 (12) Duke Of Oxford
50 | t | D | Form▸ 311-430
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95
Trainer▸ M L W Bell | Jockey▸ Taryn Langley
10 (19) Who's Glen (FR)
50 | Form▸ 4215-25
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93
Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ P J McDonald
11 (15) Zanndabad (IRE)
24 | t | Form▸ 07/366-7
Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93
Trainer▸ A J Martin | Jockey▸ Jim Crowley
12 (4) Charging Thunder
50 | p | D | Form▸ 31-1250
Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91
Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Harry Davies
13 (8) Intinso
70 | C | Form▸ 003-400
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91
Trainer▸ Craig Lidster | Jockey▸ S H James
14 (13) Asgard's Captain (IRE)
21 | C | Form▸ 426014
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91
Trainer▸ Dylan Cunha | Jockey▸ S M Levey
15 (11) Golden Rules
91 | D | Form▸ 24412/4
Age▸ 8 | Weight▸ 8-11 | Official Rating▸ 90
Trainer▸ T Faulkner | Jockey▸ S De Sousa
16 (17) Shajak (IRE)
158 | D | Form▸ 30643/0-
Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89
Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ L Morris
17 (9) Spirit Mixer
20 | D | Form▸ 110-572
Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89
Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ Rob Hornby
18 (3) Dancing In Paris (FR)
35 | Form▸ 8313-43
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89
Trainer▸ Ian Williams | Jockey▸ Marco Ghiani
19 (16) Alrazeen (IRE)
91 | D | Form▸ 711-167
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88
Trainer▸ Miss Gay Kelleway | Jockey▸ Warren Fentiman
20 (6) Tribal Star (IRE)
24 | p | Form▸ 312-229
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88
Trainer▸ A McGuinness | Jockey▸ Jamie Powell
Betting Odds (Lowest to Highest)
Northumberland Plate 2025 Analysis
The Northumberland Plate, running tomorrow at 3:15, live on ITV, at Newcastle Racecourse, is a well known 2-mile handicap race on under the all-weather code, attracting 20 experienced stayers. Given the complexity of factors like form and draw bias ~ my analysis points to Zanndabad as a likely winner.
Race Overview
- Distance▸ 2 miles and 56 yards
- Surface▸ All-weather (Tapeta)
- Field▸ 20 runners
- Prize▸ £150,000
Historical Trends and Draw Bias
Since moving to the all-weather surface in 2016, higher draws have generally performed better, with data showing 13 of the top 5 finishers in early all-weather editions (2016-2018) came from high stalls.
Key Contenders
| Horse | Draw | Odds | Recent Form | Expert Mentions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zanndabad | 15 | 10/1 | 3rd in Chester Cup last year, 7th at Curragh recently | Oddschecker 1st, Weekend Winners pick |
| Who's Glen | 19 | 7/1 | 5th in Chester Cup, strong staying potential | Timeform 1st |
| East India Dock | 14 | 6/1 | Won Chester Cup, 6th at Ascot Stakes | - |
| Pappano | 1 | 15/2 | Recent AW win, pulled up in Triumph Hurdle | Timeform 2nd |
| Tribal Star | 6 | 15/2 | Strong AW Hcp form recently | Racing Post 1st |
| Onesmoothoperator | 7 | 9/1 | Last year's winner, recent 5th at Meydan | Oddschecker 2nd |
| Golden Rules | 11 | 9/1 | 2nd in this race last year, 4th at Kempton | Timeform 3rd |
Expert Predictions
- Oddschecker▸ Zanndabad (1st), Onesmoothoperator (2nd), Dancing In Paris (3rd)
- Timeform▸ Who's Glen (1st), Pappano (2nd), Golden Rules (3rd)
- Weekend Winners Team▸ Zanndabad strongly recommended due to high draw advantage
Additional Factors
- Jim Crowley has a 100% strike rate for Zanndabad's trainer Tony Martin
- Higher draws generally favoured on all-weather at Newcastle
- Recent form and age trends favour Zanndabad and Who's Glen
Final Recommendation ~ Zanndabad 10/1 ~ Win Only
Given the combination of form and draw advantage my selection to win the 2025 Northumberland Plate has to be Zanndabad. However, this remains a wide-open race, with Who's Glen and East India Dock also representing strong challenges.
