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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. The meet features 6 handicaps.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey with a 27% win rate here this season, Hector Crouch 𝕏 is the one I'm going to mainly focus on re his four rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give all Hector Crouch rides an uber close up look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 29 Nov 2025 5:00 Wolverhampton 2yo Nursery Hcp 1m Ed Walker CHARLOTTE CORDAY
• 29 Nov 2025 6:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Jack Jones WOODHAY WHISPER
• 29 Nov 2025 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Ralph Beckett COTIERE
• 29 Nov 2025 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 4f Eve Johnson Houghton RAVENS KING ✅

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Ravens King 8/1 has captured a handicap mark running in three 8f races in C5 & C4. Now upped by a full half a mile, down to a C6 fo his handicap debut, he won't have to improve much to win this outright with Crouch booked.

Backed down from an overnight 20/1 quote fuels my suspicion they are trying with this one. I'll take my chances, win only, on what looks like a reasonable price still at 17/2.

5:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Ravens King

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Wolverhampton Results - Saturday November 29 2029. Going: standard

16:30 1. 2 Fortification 4/6F 2. 7 Havana Jag 11/1 3. 8 Palmeira 6/4 Tote Win 1.67 Places 1.10, 2.20, 1.10 Exacta: 12.20 CSF: 10.01 Trifecta: 19.40 Winning Jockey: J Doyle Winning Trainer: A Watson Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, Head Fortification 4/6 F 8 ran	17:00 1. 5 Charlotte Corday 9/1 2. 4 Phantom Watch 7/2 Tote Win 10.00 Places 3.10, 2.50 Exacta: 49.10 CSF: 41.60 Trifecta: 193.60 Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch Winning Trainer: E Walker Distances: 1 1/2 length Lavender Gold 13/8 F 6 ran
17:30 1. 6 Diamondinthedark 4/1 2. 4 Queen Sana 9/4 3. 3 Mollstar 16/1 Tote Win 5.00 Places 1.90, 1.10, 2.00 Exacta: 10.40 CSF: 13.45 Trifecta: 45.10 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: D M Loughnane Distances: 3/4 length, Head Adalida 5/4 F 9 ran	18:00 1. 3 Bahadur 6/4F 2. 6 Mersea Island 2/1 Tote Win 2.50 Places 1.50, 1.80 Exacta: 4.50 CSF: 4.77 Trifecta: 14.30 Winning Jockey: R Havlin Winning Trainer: S Woods Distances: Head Bahadur 6/4 F 6 ran
18:30 1. 8 Neptune Legend 13/2 2. 3 Woodhay Whisper 3/1F 3. 11 Thank The Lord 25/1 Tote Win 10.40 Places 2.70, 1.70, 6.40 Exacta: 37.10 CSF: 26.58 Tricast: 401.63 Trifecta: 595.60 Winning Jockey: P Cosgrave Winning Trainer: James Owen Distances: Neck, 1/2 length Woodhay Whisper 3/1 F 13 ran	19:00 1. 6 Chifa 10/3 2. 1 Electric Avenue 9/2 3. 8 Romanovich 50/1 Tote Win 4.60 Places 1.40, 2.20, 7.10 Exacta: 21.10 CSF: 19.23 Tricast: 643.53 Trifecta: 346.00 Winning Jockey: Luke Morris Winning Trainer: E De Giles Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 2 1/4 lengths Simply Blue 5/2 F 9 ran
19:30 1. 6 Landlordtothestars 16/1 2. 1 Straight A 11/8F 3. 2 Enpassant 9/1 Tote Win 17.00 Places 5.10, 1.20, 2.20 Exacta: 52.60 CSF: 40.46 Tricast: 229.66 Trifecta: 336.20 Winning Jockey: Mr Joe Leavy Winning Trainer: H J Evans Distances: Head, 1/2 length Straight A 11/8 F 8 ran	20:00 1. 2 Hint Of Humour 4/1 2. 3 Speed Of Maajid 5/2F 3. 5 Peregrine Falcon 5/1 Tote Win 5.00 Places 1.80, 1.40, 1.30 Exacta: 22.50 CSF: 14.82 Tricast: 49.30 Trifecta: 88.10 Winning Jockey: W A Carson Winning Trainer: A W Carroll Distances: 3/4 length, Short Head Speed Of Maajid 5/2 F 8 ran
20:30 1. 3 So Alex 11/10F 2. 12 Hackney Diamonds 12/1 3. 4 Moon Over The Sea 16/1 Tote Win 2.10 Places 1.30, 3.40, 2.40 Exacta: 24.60 CSF: 17.56 Tricast: 165.81 Trifecta: 175.00 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: Dr R Newland & J Insole Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 2 1/2 lengths So Alex 11/10 F 12 ran

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's bumper 9 race card that features four handicaps, of which one is a nursery for 2yo runners only. Two listed races on the card also, they are the 50k, C1, 1m 3f Churchill Stakes and the 50k, C1, 6f Golden Rose Stakes.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ This afternoon I'll be studying all of the Billy Loughnane (𝕏) rides. He has 7 rides booked. There will likely be a winner or two to be had from those.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUCHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 28 Nov 2025 3:15 Southwell C1 Golden Rose Stakes 6f Tom Clover INVICTUS GOLD ✅
• 28 Nov 2025 3:45 Southwell 2yo Nursery Handicap 7f Eve Johnson Houghton STATION BAR
• 28 Nov 2025 4:15 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 7f Hugo Palmer HEART BEATS TRUE
• 28 Nov 2025 4:45 Southwell 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Charlie Johnston WADACRE MORIARTY
• 28 Nov 2025 5:15 Southwell 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Denis Coakley MY FERMOY
• 28 Nov 2025 6:15 Southwell Handicap Mark Loughnane 1m 4f HAKU
• 28 Nov 2025 6:45 Southwell Handicap 5f Robert Cowell CLOUD KING

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Southwell Betting Analysis

3:15 Southwell ❖ 6F C1 Listed ❖ Invictus Gold (12/1) could have needed the last run.

Conclusion: Wasn't beaten too far last outing after a break. The most unexposed horse in the race. Priced up fairly at 12/1 ~ touched 18's earlier while I was asleep ~ backed down a smidgen. A speculative small stakes, win only, bet for me.

3:15 South ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Invictus Gold (Unp 12/1)

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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 6 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be Billy Loughnane (𝕏) who has a decent strike (21%) here this season. He has 6 rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 27 Nov 2025 4:30 Chelmsford City 2yo Fillies Maiden 7f George Boughey BLINDFOLD GAMES
• 27 Nov 2025 5:00 Chelmsford City 2yo Fillies Maiden 7f Charlie Appleby SNOW LIGHT
• 27 Nov 2025 7:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Michael Keady MASTER DANDY
• 27 Nov 2025 7:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Appleby RACE TO THE STARS
• 27 Nov 2025 8:00 Chelmsford City 3yo+ Fillies Novice Stakes 7f Ollie Sangster SAVANNAH GREY
• 27 Nov 2025 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Charlie Fellowes MAUI BREEZE ✅

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

8:30 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C5 Hcp. ❖ Maui Breeze (4/1) has now dropped to a more reasonable mark. The booking of Loughnane and being upped in trip will prove decisive from a hold up ride. Billy tried those tactics in a C4 at Newmarket over 6f to no avail. I think it'll work today against these.

The 11/1 I see was available overnight was a crazy price. Sometimes I wonder who's working at these bookies racing rooms these days, or is it all AI produced odds? Who knows..

8:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Maui Breeze (Unp 5/1)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday November 27 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is an 8 race twilight card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, one of them is an apprentice only handicap. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 5 rides to look into. I will also scour the 5lb claimer Jack Callan and his four rides, he's well worth his claim.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ed Walker DEL CORSO
• 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Stella Barclay PLATOON
• 27 Nov 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Linda Perratt POCKLEY ✅
• 27 Nov 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Jim Goldie YAASER
• 27 Nov 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jim Goldie ARNHEM ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 27 Nov 2025 3:28 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston KNOCKBREX ✅
• 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Si & Ed Crisford EDDAARI
• 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey UNASSUMING
• 27 Nov 2025 7:15 Newcastle Apprentice Handicap 7f Charlie Johnston INVINCIBLE LOVE

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:28 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C4 Hcp ❖ Knockbrex (10/1) if he's fit after an 8 month break, with Callan's claim, could well win this outright. The Johnstone team are always trying. I have to presume the horse is ready.

I rarely back horses running without a recent run, but sometimes a double figure price can take the eye.

3:28 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Knockbrex (Won 12/1)

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5:45 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Pockley (6/1) epitomises the C6 handicap horse. His last run just has to be ignored ~ I see mention of a unclear run ~ not for me, he just did very little either way..

The one before it takes this, even with a 10lb rise. The 5/1 ~ 6/1 is reasonable with Mulrennan aboard imo. I make him about a 3/1fav personally.

5:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Pockley (Unp 6/1)

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6:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Arnhem (16/1) may have been overlooked judging by the prices. He has comparable Irish form at Dundalk at this level. Went ok under Goldie's apprentice Lauren Young. I am sure Mulrennan will be a bit more aggressive early on today. He could well just trouble them all at a price if he can race a bit nearer than out the back this time.

He's worth a speculative, small stake, win only poke. 25/1 on the exchanges should be very gettable.

6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Arnhem (3rd 17/2 from 16's)

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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a third meeting on the AW this wednesday evening at Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 7 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be Billy Loughnane (𝕏) who has a decent strike (24.5%) here this season. He has 8 rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 26 Nov 2025 4:10 Chelmsford City 2yo Maiden 7f TJ Kent APLACEINTHESUN
• 26 Nov 2025 4:40 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Hcp 7f George Boughey SOVEREIGN WEALTH
• 26 Nov 2025 5:10 Chelmsford City Fillies Handicap 7f David Evans GAIETY MUSICAL
• 26 Nov 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f David Evans ANWEN
• 26 Nov 2025 6:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 5f David Menuisier BELLE AMIE ✅
• 26 Nov 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Ian Williams GIANT
• 26 Nov 2025 7:45 Chelmsford City 3yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 2f David Simcock QUAMBY
• 26 Nov 2025 8:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams BETTY BASSETT

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:45 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 5f C6 Hcp. ❖ Belle Amie (3/1) has been knocking on the door quite loudly. I think today's her day to break the maiden tag.

6:45 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Belle Amie (3rd 3/1)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Wednesday November 26 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, one of them is an apprentic only handicap. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 5 rides to look into.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 26 Nov 2025 4:00 Newcastle 2yo Maiden 5f J & S Quinn NORTH WEST GAL
• 26 Nov 2025 4:30 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ed Walker FANCIULLA DEL WEST
• 26 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle 3yo+ Novice Stakes 7f Lawrence Mullaney WISETON PROSPECT
• 26 Nov 2025 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m Katie Scott COOPERATION
• 26 Nov 2025 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Bryan Smart CASTAN ✅

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

6:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Castan (3/1) has the form in the book to win this outright. Mulrennan will have him challenging for the money no doubt.

6:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Castan (Unp 11/4)

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