SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon this thursday evening rolls into Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 7 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be Billy Loughnane (𝕏) who has a decent strike (22%) here this season. He has 6 rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Dec 2025 4:30 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Handicap 5f Roger Teal SOLAR INVINCIBLE
• 4 Dec 2025 5:00 Chelmsford City 2yo Fillies Novice Stakes 6f Ollie Sangster COOL MOLLY
• 4 Dec 2025 6:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 5f Phil McEntee CRESSIDA WILDES
• 4 Dec 2025 6:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Rob Cowell FANTASY MASTER ✅
• 4 Dec 2025 8:00 Chelmsford City Fillies Handicap 1m 2f Eve Johnson Houghton LADY OF ARABIA ✅
• 4 Dec 2025 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Jamie Insole SECONDS COUNT (Non Runner)

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:30 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C5 Hcp. ❖ Fantasy Master (5/1) has won better races here over the C&D before. Hinted last time at a return to form. Reasonably priced with Loughnane taking the ride today.

6:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Fantasy Master (Won 11/4 from 5's)

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8:00 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp. ❖ Lady Of Arabia (9/2f) is down to a winnable mark. I think she can beat these after a string of placed runs in better races at C4.

8:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 9/2f Lady Of Arabia (Won 4/1f)

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Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton host today's AW racing this evening on a 9 race card. 5 races are handicaps.

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Oisin Murphy ~ who has five rides on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy is riding is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Dec 2025 4:05 Kempton 2yo Fillies Novice Stakes 7f Andrew Balding DREAM CAMP
• 3 Dec 2025 5:10 Kempton 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Si & Ed Crisford ONLY IN MANILA
• 3 Dec 2025 5:40 Kempton 2yo Nursery Handicap 1m Andrew Balding UNITER
• 3 Dec 2025 6:10 Kempton Handicap 1m Simon Dow REY DE LA BATALLA
• 3 Dec 2025 7:10 Kempton Handicap 2m Hughie Morrison CAPRELO ✅

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Kempton Betting Analysis

7:10 Kempton ❖ 2m C3 Handicap ❖ Caprelo (11/2) won over the C&D last time here under Murphy. Upped 5lb, he can go in again judging by the style of his win, even upped a couple of grades to a C3.

7:10 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Caprelo (2nd 5/1)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Tuesday December 2 2025

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

We have two AW meetings today. Lingfield this tuesday morning is a 9 race card with 7 handicaps to look at. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today has to be Jason Hart 𝕏 who has an incredible 70% strike rate at Lingfield this year. He knows this quirky track inside out. He has 7 rides today.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Jason Hart rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey JASON HART

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Dec 2025 11:30 Lingfield 2yo Nursery Handicap 7f Tom Dascombe CHALE CHALO
• 3 Dec 2025 12:30 Lingfield Handicap 1m 5f Ivan Furtado SEE PARIS ✅
• 3 Dec 2025 1:00 Lingfield Handicap 1m 5f James Owen KNIGHT OF MAGIC
• 3 Dec 2025 2:00 Lingfield Fillies Handicap 1m 2f William Haggis FRANCES ETHEL
• 3 Dec 2025 2:30 Lingfield Handicap 7f Michael Herrington LEGAL REFORM ✅
• 3 Dec 2025 3:05 Lingfield Handicap 6f John & Sean Quinn PINJARRA (Non Runner)
• 3 Dec 2025 3:35 Lingfield Handicap 5f Ivan Furtado NAZRON (Non Runner)

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

12:30 Lingfield ❖ 1m 5f C6 ❖ See Paris (5/2) won well at Newcastle last time out and can follow up under a 5lb penalty here at Lingfield under Jason Hart.

12:30 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 5/2 See Paris (Unp 5/1)

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2:30 Lingfield ❖ 7f C3 ❖ Legal Reform (12/1) is competetive over the distance from this kind of mark. Looks a bit overpriced to me. Small stakes, win only.

2:30 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Legal Reform (3rd 11/1)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Tuesday December 2 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting is an 8 race twilight card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, two of which are 2yo nursery handicaps. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 3 rides to look into.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Dec 2025 3:12 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Jim Goldie TROJAN SUN
• 2 Dec 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m Don Williams PALLAS LORD
• 2 Dec 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Michael Dods LORD ABAMA ✅

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

6:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Lord Abama (16/1) competes here at Newcastle from around this mark regularly. Mulrennan has won on him here before also. A decent price at 16/1 available. Win bet only, small stakes.

6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Lord Abama (Unplaced 25/1)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Tuesday December 2 2025

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

We have two AW meetings today. Lingfield this tuesday morning is a 9 race card with 7 handicaps to look at. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today has to be the Irishman Rossa Ryan 𝕏 who has a 24% strike rate at Lingfield this year. He knows this quirky track inside out. He has 3 rides.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Rossa Ryan rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Dec 2025 1:00 Lingfield 2yo Maiden 1m David Menuisier KNIGHT OF GLORY
• 2 Dec 2025 1:30 Lingfield Handicap 1m Michael Keady WARRNAMBOOL ✅
• 2 Dec 2025 2:00 Lingfield Handicap 1m 4f Ralph Beckett LIKEALOT

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

1:30 Lingfield ❖ 8f C6 ❖ Warrnambool (11/2) returns here quickly after a reasonable run last time out for his new yard. Rossa Ryan takes the reins for the first time. I think he'll get him home in front today from a 2lb reduced mark for his 4l defeat where he ran on well, just a bit too late.

1:30 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Warrnambool (Unp 4/1)

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. The meet features 8 handicaps. One is a 2yo nursery and another is for fillies only.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey with a 27.5% win rate here this season, Hector Crouch 𝕏 is the one I'm going to mainly focus on re his six rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give all Hector Crouch rides an uber close up look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 1 Dec 2025 4:25 Wolverhampton 2yo Nursery Hcp 5f Clive Cox AKIRRA
• 1 Dec 2025 5:00 Wolverhampton 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m 4f Ralph Beckett REQUISITE
• 1 Dec 2025 5:30 Wolverhampton Fillies Handicap 6f Willy Muir STARPROOF ✅
• 1 Dec 2025 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Jack Jones I CAN IMAGINE ✅
• 1 Dec 2025 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Max Young HAWORTH STAR ✅
• 1 Dec 2025 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Claire Kubler STUDY OF MOTION

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Starproof 5/1 is running well at present and is reasonably priced to go in from a decent draw, under the guidance of Hector Crouch who takes the ride for the first time on the horse.

5:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Starproof (Unp 4/1)

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6:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ I Can Imagine 5/1 returns to the C&D with Hector Crouch forcompany. Hew will be looking to find 1.25l of improvent from aomewhere. Same mark, decent draw, same race conditions etc. I think a clued up jockey is worth a length, so I'll play, even in a low grade hcp where anything can happen one race to the next.

6:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 I Can Imagine (3rd 13/2)

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7:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Haworth Star 9/1 has bits and bobs of form that added together, give him as good a chance as any in this race. It just needs Crouch to help him put it all together. Reasonably priced so I'll take my chances.

7:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Haworth Star (Unp 14/1)

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Wolverhampton Results - Monday December 1 2029. Going: standard

16:25 1. 4 Comic Strip 5/4F 2. 6 Filly Foden 33/1 Tote Win 2.30 Places 1.40, 5.30 Exacta: 36.00 CSF: 36.85 Trifecta: 192.20 Winning Jockey: Miss J Gordon Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford Distances: 3/4 length Comic Strip 5/4 F 6 ran	17:00 1. 3 Codiak 5/4F 2. 8 Gold Penny 8/1 3. 9 Pyleates 14/1 Tote Win 2.60 Places 1.10, 2.10, 2.30 Exacta: 14.80 CSF: 13.55 Trifecta: 64.20 Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott Winning Trainer: E Bethell Distances: 6 lengths, 1 1/2 length Codiak 5/4 F 10 ran
17:30 1. 2 Maris Angel 5/2 2. 8 Court Drive 11/2 Tote Win 3.50 Places 2.30, 3.20 Exacta: 16.30 CSF: 16.62 Tricast: 136.45 Trifecta: 93.00 Winning Jockey: C J Orr Winning Trainer: Fionn McSharry Distances: 3/4 length Your Love 85/40 F 7 ran Non Runners 7	18:00 1. 4 Street Life 5/1 2. 6 Sir Benedict 20/1 3. 2 I Can Imagine 13/2 Tote Win 6.50 Places 1.50, 5.50, 1.80 Exacta: 142.10 CSF: 104.72 Tricast: 685.23 Trifecta: 733.50 Winning Jockey: Ethan Tindall Winning Trainer: P Morris Distances: 3/4 length, Neck Colors Of Freedom 4/1 F 11 ran
18:30 1. 1 Ribble Vibe 6/4F 2. 6 Senor Cortez 7/2 Tote Win 2.50 Places 1.30, 2.40 Exacta: 8.80 CSF: 7.07 Trifecta: 34.00 Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott Winning Trainer: D O'Meara Distances: 3 1/4 lengths Ribble Vibe 6/4 F 6 ran	19:00 1. 7 Homme De Fer 2/1F 2. 5 Reputation 11/2 3. 1 Overlooked 5/2 Tote Win 3.00 Places 1.10, 1.70, 1.70 Exacta: 14.90 CSF: 13.46 Tricast: 31.02 Trifecta: 47.40 Winning Jockey: W A Carson Winning Trainer: A W Carroll Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length Homme De Fer 2/1 F 12 ran
19:30 1. 4 Havana Club 7/1 2. 12 Kodebreaker 14/1 3. 6 The Cola Kid 7/2 Tote Win 8.00 Places 1.80, 4.50, 1.50 Exacta: 126.90 CSF: 100.72 Tricast: 412.59 Trifecta: 358.00 Winning Jockey: Donagh Murphy Winning Trainer: A Wintle Distances: 1 length, 1 length Sedgemoor 5/2 F 12 ran	20:00 1. 6 Magic Runner 14/1 2. 1 Token Love 25/1 3. 3 The Dark Baron 1/2F Tote Win 15.00 Places 2.40, 7.00, 1.10 Exacta: 508.60 CSF: 331.34 Tricast: 506.97 Trifecta: 2710.60 Winning Jockey: J P Sullivan Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr Distances: 1/2 length, 2 lengths The Dark Baron 1/2 F 12 ran Non Runners 8
20:30 1. 5 Dingwall 5/4F 2. 1 Rating 18/1 3. 2 Revich 11/1 CSF: 31.74 Tricast: 205.83 Winning Jockey: Cara Tuke Winning Trainer: I Jardine Distances: Nose, 3 1/4 lengths Dingwall 5/4 F 12 ran Non Runners 11