SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday March 6 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Tonight's bumper nine race Newcastle AW evening meeting starts with the 4:26 and ends with the 8:30. Seven handicaps to mull over. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Billy Loughnane 𝕏 who has a 20% strike rate here this season. He has four rides.

---

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

---

Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Mar 2026 4:26 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Ian Williams GREEN TEAM ✅
• 6 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey CARRON
• 6 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ian Williams MOYOWASI
• 6 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle 4yo+ Classified Stakes 5f Stephen Hanlon FORTUNATE STAR ✅

---

Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:26 Newcastle ❖ 1m 4f C5 Hcp ❖ Green Team (9/1) is plenty good enough to beat these at any distance from 1.5 to 2miles, from half a stone higher to boot. There are only six to beat, ie it's not going to be a battle to get a handy race position from trap four.

With Loughnane aboard, I'll take my chances at the 9/1 on offer, which looks too big to me. The alleged overnight price of a giant looking 16/1 is gone.

4:26 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Green Team

---

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Classified ❖ Fortunate Star (11/4) won a similar classified race 10 days ago and goes again. I figure the result will be much the same with Loughnane up top.

7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 11/4 Fortunate Star

---

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday March 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with the 4:55. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Paul Mulrennan 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well, especially the straight course. He has three rides.

Additionally, I am looking at 5lb claimer Jack Callan 𝕏, who has a strong 24% strike rate here this season, so is obviously worth his allowance.

---

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

---

Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Ben Haslam LIGHTENING COMPANY
• 5 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 6f Bryan Smart FILLE UNIQUE ✅
• 5 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Bryan Smart CASTAN ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Hugo Palmer MONTY BEAU ✅
• 5 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Hugo Palmer SOUTH COAST STAR

---

Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:55 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp ❖ Monty Beau (4/1) is running well at present. The 4/1 available is reasonable enough.

4:55 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Monty Beau (Unp 3/1f)

---

5:30 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Fille Unique (28/1) is upped in trip to 6f. Shes done nothing wrong on the level. I feel the 28/1 is an out with the washing quote. I think she has a squeak.

There is no harm at the price, of a small stake, win only bet. 45/1 freely available on the exchanges btw.

5:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 28/1 Fille Unique (Unp 18/1)

---

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Castan (9/2) is knocking on the door. With Mulrennan aboard, a half reasonable break will see this one be a winner today against these.

7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Castan (Unp 5/1)

---

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Thursday March 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. A seven race card. The races include 6 handicaps and a single maiden for 3-5yo runners.

I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is top level youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ he has five rides this afternoon.

---

❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

---

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Billy Loughnane runners very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

---

Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 2:53 Lingfield Handicap 5f Mark Loughnane BEAUMADIER
• 5 Mar 2026 3:25 Lingfield Handicap 5f Richard Hughes THE THAMES BOATMAN
• 5 Mar 2026 4:00 Lingfield Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams AKRIVOS
• 5 Mar 2026 4:33 Lingfield Handicap 1m Stephanie Cassidy PINK SOCKS
• 5 Mar 2026 5:08 Lingfield Handicap 1m 2f Mark Loughnane CRAFTER ✅

---

Lingfield Betting Analysis

5:08 Lingfield ❖ 1m 2f Hcp ❖ Crafter (3/1) has the form in the book to run up and down all over these.

5:08 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Crafter (Unp 4/1)

---

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this afternoon is a eight race card. Six races are handicaps of varying types. I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ who has five rides on the card.

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

---

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Billy Loughnane is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

---

Kempton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Mar 2026 5:30 Kempton 3yo Novice Stakes 1m George Boughey PENTONVILLE
• 4 Mar 2026 6:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Ian Williams HARVEY
• 4 Mar 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 6f Eve Johnson Houghton BUCCABAY
• 4 Mar 2026 7:30 Kempton Handicap 6f George Boughey ALASRAE
• 4 Mar 2026 8:00 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f Ian Williams JODHPUR BLUE ✅

---

Kempton Betting Analysis

8:00 Kempton ❖ 1m 3f C5 Handicap ❖ Jodhpur Blue (4/1) is knocking on the door on the AW circuit on every track. Today he takes on Kempton. From trap 4, with Loughnane aboard, I am of the opinion he has as good a chance as the favourite, so I'll take the bet at the 5/1 on offer.

8:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Jodhpur Blue (2nd 9/4f from 4's)

---

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's bumper nine race card that features six handicaps of various descriptions.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying the Jason Hart 𝕏 formlines ~ he has five rides.

I also want to keep on the right side of youngster Mason Paetel at the moment. He seems to be on the upgrade in my opinion and is well worth his 5lb allowance.

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

---

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Mar 2026 1:32 Southwell Handicap 1m Michael Herrington HERETIC
• 4 Mar 2026 2:02 Southwell Handicap 1m Michael Herrington AMELIA'S JOY
• 4 Mar 2026 3:02 Southwell 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m Lawrence Mullaney DASH POWER ✅
• 4 Mar 2026 3:32 Southwell Handicap 1m Ivan Furtado MONK'S HILL (Non Runner)
• 4 Mar 2026 4:32 Southwell 4yo+ Novice Stakes 1m 3f John & Sean Quinn GRAZEON SUNSHINE

Jockey MASON PAETEL (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Mar 2026 1:32 Southwell Handicap 1m Ollie Sangster MAGDALAYNA ✅
• 4 Mar 2026 4:32 Southwell 4yo+ Novice Stakes 1m 3f James Owen LARAVIE
• 4 Mar 2026 5:07 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f James Owen KATE O'RILEY

---

Southwell Betting Analysis

1:32Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Magdalayna (20/1) is a fair way overpriced.

Conclusion: has the form on the book to arguably be around the 7/1 mark. With Paetel claiming 5lb, I'll take my chances at the 20/1 odds on offer. Win only, small stake.

1:32 South ~ Win Bet: 20/1 Magdalayna (Unp 25/1)

---

3:02 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Classified Stakes ❖ Dash Power (9/2) is one I backed 10 days ago.

Conclusion: I thought he was not given much chance by Ollie Stammers who was a jockey change. With Hart taking the ride today in similar race conditions, I'll go in again at the just about backable odds.

3:02 South ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Dash Power (2nd 3/1)

---

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This evening's seven race card features five handicaps and two maidens.

---

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this follow in this evening is are Hector Crouch 𝕏 and the youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ both ride the quirky Wolverhampton track very well.

---

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

---

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Hector Crouch and Billy Loughnane are on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

---

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Mar 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton 3yo+ Maiden 6f Jack Jones WYLE COP
• 3 Mar 2026 6:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Ed Dunlop HAVANA SKY
• 3 Mar 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Ed Walker CHARLOTTE CORDAY ✅

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 3 Mar 2026 5:25 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f Eve Johnston Houghton ROBUSTO ✅
• 3 Mar 2026 6:00 Wolverhampton 3yo+ Maiden 6f George Boughey WESTPORT
• 3 Mar 2026 6:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Ivan Furtado MACARONE
• 3 Mar 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton 3-5yo Fillies Maiden 7f J S Moore DUSK DAMSEL
• 3 Mar 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Dominic Ffrench Davis DAYMAN
• 3 Mar 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m George Boughey HARDSTYLE
• 3 Mar 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Keving Frost AL BAAHY

---

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:25 Wolverhampton ❖ 2m C4 Hcp ❖ Robusto (8/1) at first look seems to be up against it to be honest. I note though, that his one sole C&D run, was a half length defeat on 80, with Loughnane aboard ~ today he's on 77. The only pause for me is the draw in stall eight which is far from ideal.

So with all that said ~ I'll take my chances at the weights at the 8/1 on offer.

5:25 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Robusto (3rd 11/2)

---

8:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ Charlotte Corday (7/1) gets a line put through the last effort over an extra furlong which didn't suit in my opinion ~ Harry Vigors rode that day. Back down to a mile, trap 3, Hector Crouch back on board, I'll play.

8:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Charlotte Corday (4th 9/2)

---

Wolverhampton Results - Tuesday March 3 2026. Going: standard

17:25 1. 2 Shrimp Shady 5/2 2. 8 Calvert 11/1 3. 1 Robusto 11/2 Tote Win 3.50 Places 1.40, 2.20, 1.90 Exacta: 30.70 CSF: 29.97 Tricast: 138.90 Trifecta: 194.10 Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby Winning Trainer: A M Balding Distances: Nose, Head Gemmari 2/1 F 8 ran Non Runners 7	18:00 1. 5 Wyle Cop 8/11F 2. 2 Nebulon 15/8 Tote Win 1.73 Places 1.10, 1.20 Exacta: 2.60 CSF: 2.37 Trifecta: 14.20 Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch Winning Trainer: Jack Jones Distances: 1 1/4 length Wyle Cop 8/11 F 6 ran Non Runners 4 8
18:30 1. 7 Beauzon 13/2 2. 10 Punchbowl Flyer 50/1 3. 9 Initial Blue 9/4F Tote Win 7.50 Places 1.80, 11.60, 1.40 Exacta: 145.90 CSF: 256.40 Tricast: 950.24 Trifecta: 631.00 Winning Jockey: Mr C Bishop Winning Trainer: Ian Williams Distances: 1 length, 3/4 length Initial Blue 9/4 F 9 ran Non Runners 8	19:00 1. 4 Espanita 11/8F 2. 5 Galileo Charm 13/2 3. 7 Mudita 50/1 Tote Win 2.38 Places 1.20, 1.40, 6.50 Exacta: 9.70 CSF: 11.57 Trifecta: 126.80 Winning Jockey: Callum Shepherd Winning Trainer: C Johnston Distances: 1 3/4 length, 4 lengths Espanita 11/8 F 8 ran
19:30 1. 6 The Dark Baron 7/2F 2. 5 Al Hofzan 12/1 3. 9 Good Karma 6/1 Tote Win 4.90 Places 1.80, 4.00, 2.60 Exacta: 33.20 CSF: 48.23 Tricast: 255.34 Trifecta: 460.70 Winning Jockey: Laura Coughlan Winning Trainer: Kathy Turner Distances: Nose, 1 length The Dark Baron 7/2 F 11 ran	20:00 1. 3 Hardstyle 9/4 2. 5 Hamaleel 6/1 Tote Win 3.25 Places 1.50, 1.80 Exacta: 8.10 CSF: 16.22 Trifecta: 52.80 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: G Boughey Distances: 2 1/2 lengths Magician of Riga 13/8 F 6 ran
20:30 1. 12 Arlecchino's Rex 6/1 2. 9 Al Shabab 15/2 3. 1 Silkies Sib 7/4F Tote Win 7.00 Places 2.60, 2.90, 1.20 Exacta: 58.50 CSF: 51.18 Tricast: 111.95 Trifecta: 208.50 Winning Jockey: J Watson Winning Trainer: M D I Usher Distances: 1 length, Neck Silkies Sib 7/4 F 10 ran Non Runners 2 11