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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this evening starting at 5:30. A 7 race card with 5 handicaps and 2 minor stakes races to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be the old warhorse Luke Morris (𝕏) ~ He has four rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 8 Jan 2026 5:30 Chelmsford City 3-5yo Maiden Stakes 6f Archie Watson EVENEPOEL
• 8 Jan 2026 6:00 Chelmsford City 4yo+ Classified Stakes 6f Matt Crawley DUBAI MAGIC ✅
• 8 Jan 2026 7:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 5f Archie Watson POWER QUEST
• 8 Jan 2026 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Ed Bethell NOSS MAYO

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:00 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C6 Classified Stakes. ❖ Dubai Magic (5/1) nearly broke her duck last time out and should be good enough with Luke Morris' help to take this.

6:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Dubai Magic

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Labels: All-Weather-Code

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this evening is a seven race card. 6 races are handicaps. I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Oisin Murphy 𝕏 ~ who has four rides on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy is riding is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Jan 2026 5:00 Kempton Handicap 6f Mick Bell ESPONA BAY
• 7 Jan 2026 6:00 Kempton Handicap 7f Toni Carroll UP THE ANTI ✅
• 7 Jan 2026 6:30 Kempton Handicap 7f Ed Walker POPMASTER ✅
• 7 Jan 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Mick Bell RAJINOORA

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Kempton Betting Analysis

6:00 Kempton ❖ 7f C5 Handicap ❖ Up The Anti (5/2f) won well last time out here over 6f. I think he'll go in again under Murphy. I wouldn't want to lay him at evens, so the 5/2 available seems more than fair to me.

6:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/2f Up The Anti (Unp 3/1f)

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6:30 Kempton ❖ 7f C5 Handicap ❖ Popmaster (3/1f) looks nicely handicapped in comparison to his last run here over the C&D where he was beated 1.5l carrying 6lb more. The presence of Oisin Murphy firther strengthens the horse's claims for this race. The 3/1f odds seem fair enough and worth a punt.

6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 3/1f Popmaster (2nd 13/8f from 3's)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Wednesday January 7 2026

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. Racing starts at 12:35. An seven race card with six handicaps to sift through. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is Edward Greatrex. I notice he has been riding well lately on the AW circuit. He has three rides today.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Greatrex rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey Ed Greatrex

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Jan 2026 12:35 Lingfield Handicap 2m Ian Williams QUEENSLAND BOY ✅
• 7 Jan 2026 2:05 Lingfield 3yo+ Maiden 1m Ralph Beckett LISA JOY
• 7 Jan 2026 2:35 Lingfield Handicap 7f Olly Sangster FRANKALI

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

12:35 Lingfield ❖ 2m C6 ❖ Queensland Boy (9/1) hacked up last time he was here over tghe C&D, from exactly the same mark. The question is whether he is in the same form? I thought I detected a possible return to form at some stages of his last race at Wolverhampton with Greatrex aboard, so I'll take my chances at the price.

12:35 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Queensland Boy (Non Runner)

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Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's nine race card that features six handicaps, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Callum Shepherd (𝕏) rides. He has three rides booked.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey CALLUM SHEPHERD

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Jan 2026 5:00 Southwell 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 3f Charlie Johnston WADACRE MORIARTY
• 6 Jan 2026 6:30 Southwell Handicap 1m David Simcock CHARLATAN ✅
• 6 Jan 2026 7:30 Southwell 3~5yo Maiden Fillies 7f James Tate BLUE CELESTIAL

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Southwell Betting Analysis

6:30 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Charlatan 3/1 won well last time out.

Conclusion: ran very well to win at Wolverhampton from a wide draw. I doubt the 2lb rise will be enough to stop him in that form.

The fav here today was a neck behind in the same race and has an advantage at the weights today, so the money is down to reverse the result. I think not so much, due to today's draw being in Charlatan's favour.

5:30 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Charlatan (Unp 85/40f)

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Southwell AW Code Breaker

Today is when the "All Weather Racing" bandwagon rolls into an empty town. Racing is off everywhere else due to snow. Up steps Southwell with a hastily arranged meeting for punters, or we'd be backing cartoon horses in Virtual races down the bookies.

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's nine race card that features eight handicaps, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ This afternoon I'll be studying all of the 5lb claimer Lauren Young (𝕏) rides. She has five rides booked. She is the apprentice rider for Jim Goldie. Well worth her claim from what I've seen lately.

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❖ Trainer ❖ Northern trainer from Scotland Jim Goldie | [𝕏] | [FB] | is the yard I'm looking at today. He has sent 5 runners | [Post] | ~ hopefully there'll be a winner to be had.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey & Trainer Quick Statistics

Trainer/Jockey Combo Jim Goldie + Lauren Young (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Jockey | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 4 Jan 2026 1:30 Southwell Handicap 7f Jim Goldie Lauren Young ASHEN ✅
• 4 Jan 2026 2:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Jim Goldie Lauren Young RORY
• 4 Jan 2026 3:00 Southwell Handicap 5f Jim Goldie Lauren Young JM JHINGREE
• 4 Jan 2026 3:35 Southwell Handicap 5f Jim Goldie Lauren Young CRACKINTHUNDER
• 4 Jan 2026 4:35 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Jim Goldie Lauren Young KRISSY

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Southwell Betting Analysis

1:30 Southwell ❖ 7f C5 ❖ Ashen 16/1 got no run last time on his debut for the Goldie yard.

Conclusion: Has 5lb less to carry due to Young's claim and an inside draw today. He was not beaten far last time and could well improve for that run. If he does, he could well provide a shock.

1:30 South ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Ashen (Unp 10/1 from 16's)

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